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Ligue 1
Referee: Amaury Delerue
Rennes
U S S U S
1–1
Full-time
Monaco
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rennes Monaco
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
67%
83%
Points per game
2,3
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
17%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,3
4,0
Scored
1,8
3,0
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+2,0
This season — Ligue 1 · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 55%
43%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
47%
73%
Both score Ø 55%
53%
57%
Average goals
2,5
3,5
Scored
1,3
2,5
Conceded
1,2
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

54% Possession 46%
20 Shots 8
7 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
8 Corners 1
7 Offside 0
21 Free kicks against 17
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rennes 6. · Monaco 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 31 27 2 2 +74 83
2 Monaco 30 20 6 4 +42 66
3 Marseille 31 18 8 5 +26 62
4 Lyon 31 17 9 5 +28 60
5 Montpellier 31 10 15 6 +5 45
6 Rennes 30 13 6 11 +3 45
7 Nice 31 13 6 12 -1 45
8 Nantes 31 12 8 11 -3 44
9 St Etienne 31 11 9 11 -8 42
10 Guingamp 31 10 8 13 -14 38
11 Dijon 31 10 8 13 -16 38
12 Bordeaux 31 10 7 14 -7 37
13 Angers 31 8 11 12 -6 35
14 Caen 31 10 5 16 -16 35
15 Amiens 31 9 7 15 -8 34
16 Strasbourg 31 8 9 14 -19 33
17 Toulouse 31 7 9 15 -14 30
18 Troyes 31 8 5 18 -17 29
19 Lille 31 7 7 17 -20 28
20 Metz 31 5 7 19 -29 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rennes Monaco
1–0 J. Gnagnon
S. Prcić
20′
29′
Rony Lopes 1–1
R. Falcao
Half-time 1–1
49′
🔁 A. Diakhaby
↦ S. Jovetić
D. Sakho 🔁
↦ J. Lea Siliki
61′
75′
🟨 Jemerson
75′
🔁 R. Ghezzal
↦ Rony Lopes
79′
🔁 Boschilia
↦ T. Lemar
A. Hunou 🔁
↦ I. Sarr
81′
88′
🟨 Kévin N'Doram
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Rennes

4-1-4-1
40 T. Koubek G
24 Ludovic Baal D
29 R. Danzé D
26 J. Gelin D
5 J. Gnagnon D
21 B. André M
10 S. Prcić M
14 B. Bourigeaud M
12 J. Lea Siliki M
8 W. Khazri F
7 I. Sarr M
Bench (7)
25 D. Sakho
23 A. Hunou
1 A. Diallo
2 M. Zeffane
15 R. Bensebaini
18 M. Amalfitano
28 Y. Gourcuff

Coach: S. Lamouchi

Monaco

4-4-1-1
1 D. Subašić G
24 A. Raggi D
25 K. Glik D
19 D. Sidibé D
5 Jemerson D
27 T. Lemar M
20 Rony Lopes M
2 Fabinho M
35 K. N'Doram M
9 R. Falcao F
10 S. Jovetić F
Bench (7)
15 A. Diakhaby
7 R. Ghezzal
26 Boschilia
6 Jorge
17 Y. Tielemans
30 S. Sy
38 A. Touré

Coach: Leonardo Jardim

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Amaury Delerue · 58 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.