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Ligue 1
Referee: Said Ennjimi
Rennes
S U T S S
2–3
Full-time
Monaco
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rennes Monaco
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
50%
100%
Points per game
1,7
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
17%
83%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,7
3,2
Scored
0,8
2,7
Conceded
0,8
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+2,2
This season — Ligue 1 · 37/37 matches
Win Ø 55%
32%
78%
Points per game
1,4
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
24%
81%
Both score Ø 47%
43%
51%
Average goals
2,0
3,6
Scored
0,9
2,8
Conceded
1,1
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

50% Possession 50%
18 Shots 23
5 Shots on target 12
7 Blocked shots 5
8 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 5
5 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 12
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rennes 9. · Monaco 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Monaco 37 29 5 3 +75 92
2 Paris SG 37 27 5 5 +56 86
3 Nice 37 22 11 4 +27 77
4 Lyon 37 20 4 13 +29 64
5 Marseille 37 16 11 10 +15 59
6 Bordeaux 37 15 13 9 +10 58
7 Nantes 37 14 9 14 -11 51
8 St Etienne 37 12 14 11 +1 50
9 Rennes 37 12 14 11 -5 50
10 Guingamp 37 13 8 16 -8 47
11 Toulouse 37 10 13 14 -4 43
12 Lille 37 12 7 18 -10 43
13 Angers 37 12 7 18 -11 43
14 Metz 37 11 10 16 -32 43
15 Montpellier 37 10 9 18 -16 39
16 Dijon 37 8 12 17 -12 36
17 Caen 37 10 6 21 -29 36
18 Bastia 37 8 11 18 -24 35
19 Lorient 37 10 5 22 -26 35
20 Nancy 37 8 8 21 -25 32

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rennes Monaco
42′
Fabinho 0–1
Half-time 0–1
Afonso Figueiredo 🔁
↦ R. Bensebaini
46′
46′
🔁 L. Badiashile
↦ S. Sy
47′
Jemerson 0–2
T. Lemar
A. Diakhaby 🔁
↦ G. Sio
61′
1–2 A. Diakhaby
69′
72′
🔁 D. Sidibé
↦ T. Lemar
78′
Jorge 1–3
D. Sidibé
79′
🔁 Bernardo Silva
↦ A. Raggi
N. Janvier 🔁
↦ B. André
83′
2–3 A. Diakhaby
91′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Rennes

4-4-2
1 B. Costil
29 R. Danzé D
4 Mexer D
15 R. Bensebaini D
32 J. Gnagnon D
6 G. Fernandes M
21 B. André M
26 S. Prcić M
23 A. Hunou M
13 G. Sio F
7 N. Mubele F
Bench (7)
25 Afonso Figueiredo
31 A. Diakhaby
35 N. Janvier
5 Pedro Mendes
14 A. Kalulu
16 R. M'Bolhi
22 S. Armand

Coach: C. Gourcuff

Monaco

4-3-3
30 S. Sy G
24 A. Raggi D
2 Fabinho M
34 A. Diallo D
5 Jemerson D
35 K. N'Doram M
6 Jorge D
14 T. Bakayoko M
27 T. Lemar M
18 V. Germain F
29 K. Mbappé F
Bench (7)
40 L. Badiashile
19 D. Sidibé
10 Bernardo Silva
8 João Moutinho
9 R. Falcao
11 G. Carrillo
25 K. Glik

Coach: Leonardo Jardim

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Said Ennjimi · 17 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
5,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.