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Ligue 1
Referee: H Ben El Hadj
Bordeaux
T T U U U
2–0
Full-time
Marseille
U S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bordeaux Marseille
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,3
2,5
Scored
0,5
1,5
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,5
This season — Ligue 1 · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 37%
27%
47%
Points per game
1,2
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
33%
57%
Both score Ø 48%
43%
53%
Average goals
2,0
2,9
Scored
0,9
1,6
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

35% Possession 65%
7 Shots 21
7 Shots on target 5
0 Blocked shots 6
5 Goalkeeper saves 5
1 Corners 11
2 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bordeaux 13. · Marseille 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 29 26 2 1 +71 80
2 Lille 30 18 6 6 +22 60
3 Lyon 30 16 8 6 +16 56
4 St Etienne 30 14 7 9 +8 49
5 Marseille 30 14 6 10 +7 48
6 Reims 30 11 13 6 +0 46
7 Montpellier 30 11 12 7 +8 45
8 Nice 30 12 8 10 -7 44
9 Strasbourg 30 10 12 8 +14 42
10 Rennes 29 11 8 10 +2 41
11 Angers 30 8 13 9 +0 37
12 Nimes 29 10 7 12 -3 37
13 Bordeaux 30 8 11 11 -3 35
14 Toulouse 30 7 11 12 -16 32
15 Nantes 29 8 7 14 -5 31
16 Monaco 30 7 9 14 -15 30
17 Amiens 30 8 6 16 -19 30
18 Caen 30 4 11 15 -20 23
19 Guingamp 30 5 7 18 -34 22
20 Dijon 30 5 6 19 -26 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bordeaux Marseille
1–0 F. Kamano
27′
45′
🟨 Dimitri Payet
Half-time 1–0
61′
🟨 Boubacar Kamara
Jules Kounde 🟨
68′
69′
🔁 M. Balotelli
↦ D. Payet
2–0 N. de Préville
J. Briand
71′
Z. Youssouf 🔁
↦ Otávio
77′
77′
🔁 M. Sanson
↦ V. Germain
Pablo Nascimento Castro 🟨
81′
Pablo Nascimento Castro 🟥
82′
84′
🟨 Mario Balotelli
A. Lottin 🔁
↦ F. Kamano
85′
85′
🔁 C. N'Jie
↦ M. Lopez
J. Plašil 🔁
↦ N. de Préville
93′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Bordeaux

4-2-3-1
1 B. Costil G
25 Pablo D
20 Y. Sabaly D
29 M. Poundjé D
14 V. Jovanović D
5 Otávio M
4 J. Koundé D
26 T. Bašić
7 J. Briand F
12 N. de Préville F
11 F. Kamano F
Bench (7)
28 Z. Youssouf
24 A. Lottin
18 J. Plašil
13 Y. Sankharé
8 Y. Karamoh
27 J. Maja
16 G. Poussin

Coach: Paulo Sousa

Marseille

4-2-3-1
30 S. Mandanda G
2 H. Sakai D
18 J. Amavi D
15 D. Ćaleta-Car D
4 B. Kamara D
10 D. Payet M
12 K. Strootman M
27 M. Lopez M
28 V. Germain F
26 F. Thauvin M
7 N. Radonjić M
Bench (7)
9 M. Balotelli
8 M. Sanson
14 C. N'Jie
16 Y. Pelé
23 A. Rami
6 Rolando
19 Luiz Gustavo

Coach: R. Garcia

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

H Ben El Hadj · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.