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Ligue 1

Referee: Benoît Bastien

St Etienne

U S S S S

0–1

Full-time

Montpellier

T S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Etienne Montpellier

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

83%

67%

Points per game

2,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,2

2,8

Scored

2,3

1,8

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,8

This season — Ligue 1 · 35/35 matches

Win Ø 46%

51%

40%

Points per game

1,8

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

51%

49%

Both score Ø 53%

49%

57%

Average goals

2,7

2,6

Scored

1,6

1,5

Conceded

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

64% Possession 36%

16 Shots 11

5 Shots on target 4

6 Blocked shots 0

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

11 Corners 1

1 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 18

3 Yellow cards 4

1 Red cards 1

The table before the match St Etienne 4. · Montpellier 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	35	27	4	4	+67	85
2	Lille	35	20	9	6	+31	69
3	Lyon	35	18	9	8	+15	63
4	St Etienne	35	18	8	9	+16	62
5	Montpellier	35	14	13	8	+11	55
6	Marseille	35	16	7	12	+7	55
7	Nice	35	14	10	11	-4	52
8	Nimes	35	14	7	14	-1	49
9	Reims	35	11	16	8	-5	49
10	Strasbourg	35	10	16	9	+12	46
11	Nantes	35	13	7	15	+1	46
12	Angers	35	10	15	10	+1	45
13	Rennes	35	11	12	12	-1	45
14	Bordeaux	35	9	11	15	-7	38
15	Toulouse	35	8	13	14	-18	37
16	Amiens	35	8	10	17	-20	34
17	Monaco	35	7	12	16	-18	33
18	Caen	35	6	12	17	-21	30
19	Dijon	35	7	7	21	-27	28
20	Guingamp	35	5	10	20	-39	25

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	18	16	2	0	+49	50
2	St Etienne	17	12	2	3	+18	38
3	Lille	17	11	4	2	+25	37
4	Lyon	18	11	4	3	+15	37
5	Marseille	17	10	4	3	+16	34
6	Nantes	18	9	4	5	+12	31
7	Montpellier	18	8	7	3	+11	31
8	Nice	17	9	3	5	+3	30
9	Nimes	17	8	5	4	+10	29
10	Reims	18	7	7	4	+1	28
11	Rennes	17	7	6	4	+7	27
12	Bordeaux	18	7	6	5	+4	27
13	Strasbourg	18	6	8	4	+8	26
14	Angers	17	5	8	4	+3	23
15	Amiens	17	6	4	7	-3	22
16	Toulouse	18	4	9	5	-3	21
17	Dijon	17	4	4	9	-13	16
18	Guingamp	18	3	6	9	-11	15
19	Monaco	18	3	6	9	-12	15
20	Caen	17	3	5	9	-11	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	17	11	2	4	+18	35
2	Lille	18	9	5	4	+6	32
3	Lyon	17	7	5	5	+0	26
4	Montpellier	17	6	6	5	+0	24
5	St Etienne	18	6	6	6	-2	24
6	Angers	18	5	7	6	-2	22
7	Nice	18	5	7	6	-7	22
8	Reims	17	4	9	4	-6	21
9	Marseille	18	6	3	9	-9	21
10	Strasbourg	17	4	8	5	+4	20
11	Nimes	18	6	2	10	-11	20
12	Monaco	17	4	6	7	-6	18
13	Rennes	18	4	6	8	-8	18
14	Caen	18	3	7	8	-10	16
15	Toulouse	17	4	4	9	-15	16
16	Nantes	17	4	3	10	-11	15
17	Dijon	18	3	3	12	-14	12
18	Amiens	18	2	6	10	-17	12
19	Bordeaux	17	2	5	10	-11	11
20	Guingamp	17	2	4	11	-28	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.