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Eredivisie
Referee: Bas Nijhuis
Groningen
S S U U T
0–0
Full-time
Nijmegen
T U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Groningen Nijmegen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
This season — Eredivisie · 17/18 matches
Win Ø 46%
41%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
41%
39%
Both score Ø 46%
53%
39%
Average goals
2,6
2,4
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,4
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%
13 Shots 13
2 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 5
0 Free kicks against 0
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Groningen 8. · Nijmegen 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 18 14 2 2 +35 44
2 PSV Eindhoven 18 12 5 1 +25 41
3 Feyenoord 18 11 3 4 +17 36
4 Vitesse 18 9 4 5 +20 31
5 Nijmegen 18 9 3 6 +5 30
6 Zwolle 17 8 4 5 +7 28
7 Heracles 16 8 3 5 +3 27
8 Groningen 17 7 5 5 -3 26
9 Utrecht 16 6 5 5 +3 23
10 AZ Alkmaar 18 6 4 8 -4 22
11 Den Haag 18 4 8 6 -2 20
12 Heerenveen 18 5 5 8 -10 20
13 Willem II 18 4 6 8 -2 18
14 Excelsior 18 4 5 9 -13 17
15 Roda 18 3 7 8 -17 16
16 Twente 18 4 4 10 -19 16
17 Cambuur 18 2 7 9 -23 13
18 De Graafschap 18 2 2 14 -22 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

25. Oct -15 Nijmegen – Groningen 1–1

Match report

Groningen Nijmegen
44′
🟨 Anthony Limbombe
Half-time 0–0
D. Payne 🔁
↦ A. Tamata
46′
O. Idrissi 🔁
↦ A. Rusnák
53′
62′
🟨 Marcel Appiah
Hans Hateboer 🟨
70′
79′
🔁 M. Rayhi
↦ D. Dumić
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Groningen

1 S. Padt G
6 E. Reijnen D
2 J. Kappelhof D
28 A. Tamata D
33 H. Hateboer M
21 R. Lindgren D
10 A. Rusnák M
22 S. Tibbling M
11 B. Linssen F
8 M. de Leeuw M
13 A. Sørloth F
Bench (7)
37 D. Payne
45 O. Idrissi
3 K. Larsen
9 D. Hoesen
17 Jesper Drost
23 H. Maduro
26 P. van der Vlag

Nijmegen

30 B. Jones G
3 D. Dumić D
2 M. Appiah D
4 W. Golla D
16 T. Kane M
15 L. Woudenberg D
8 G. Breinburg M
25 N. Foor M
19 Janio Bikel M
11 C. Santos F
10 A. Limbombe F
Bench (7)
20 M. Rayhi
7 S. Lundholm
9 J. Sleegers
17 M. Roman
24 M. Ritzmaier
26 M. van Duin
37 J. Leiwakabessy

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Bas Nijhuis · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
15,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.