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Primeira Liga
Referee: Manuel Oliveira
2–1
Full-time
Academica
T S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vitoria Setubal Academica
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
4,2
3,8
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
3,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,8
-0,2
This season — Primeira Liga · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 25%
28%
22%
Points per game
1,2
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
67%
44%
Both score Ø 56%
56%
56%
Average goals
3,4
2,7
Scored
1,6
0,9
Conceded
1,9
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

54% Possession 46%
12 Shots 17
5 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 8
4 Offside 4
0 Free kicks against 0
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Vitoria Setubal 9. · Academica 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sp Lisbon 18 14 3 1 +26 45
2 Benfica 18 14 1 3 +35 43
3 Porto 18 12 4 2 +25 40
4 Sp Braga 18 9 5 4 +15 32
5 Pacos Ferreira 18 8 5 5 +7 29
6 Guimaraes 18 7 5 6 -3 26
7 Rio Ave 18 7 4 7 +1 25
8 Arouca 18 5 9 4 +2 24
9 Vitoria Setubal 18 5 7 6 -6 22
10 Maritimo 18 6 3 9 -10 21
11 Belenenses 18 5 6 7 -15 21
12 Estoril 18 5 5 8 -6 20
13 Moreirense 18 5 5 8 -7 20
14 U. Madeira 18 5 5 8 -11 20
15 Nacional 18 4 5 9 -7 17
16 Academica 18 4 5 9 -15 17
17 Boavista 18 3 4 11 -14 13
18 Tondela 18 2 3 13 -17 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Vitoria Setubal Academica
31′
🟨 Rafa Soares
36′
🟨 Rafael Lopes
1–0 Hassan
38′
Frederico Venancio 🟨
40′
41′
🔁 Gonçalo Paciência
↦ Rui Pedro
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Marinho
↦ Hugo Seco
59′
Nuno Piloto 1–1
Miguel Lourenço 🔁
↦ Hassan
66′
T. Gorupec 🔁
↦ William Alves
73′
Vasco Costa 🔁
↦ Ruca
80′
André Horta 🟨
81′
2–1 A. Issoko
84′
87′
🔁 Ricardo Nascimento
↦ Fernando Alexandre
Ricardo 🟨
90′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Vitoria Setubal

82 Ricardo G
22 William Alves D
21 Nuno Pinto D
3 Frederico Venâncio D
6 Fabio Pacheco M
90 Ruca M
35 Rúben Semedo D
77 André Horta M
18 André Claro F
19 A. Issoko D
9 Hassan
Bench (7)
44 Miguel Lourenço
20 T. Gorupec
23 Vasco Costa
66 Ricardo Dani
1 L. Raeder
8 Paulo Tavares
42 Alexandre Cardoso

Academica

88 Pedro Trigueira G
13 João Real D
2 Aderlan
55 Rafa D
23 William Gustavo
28 Nuno Piloto M
20 Rui Pedro M
65 Fernando Alexandre M
77 Hugo Seco M
10 Ivanildo M
30 Rafael Lopes F
Bench (7)
19 Gonçalo Paciência
7 Marinho
5 Ricardo Nascimento
22 C. Oualembo
27 Pedro Nuno
48 Artur Taborda
32 Lee

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Manuel Oliveira · 149 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.