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Eredivisie

Referee: Allard Lindhout

Utrecht

T S T S S

3–0

Full-time

Heracles

S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Utrecht Heracles

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,5

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

3,5

4,0

Scored

1,3

1,5

Conceded

2,2

2,5

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-1,0

This season — Eredivisie · 31/33 matches

Win Ø 45%

45%

Points per game

1,6

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 66%

61%

70%

Both score Ø 54%

52%

55%

Average goals

3,2

3,7

Scored

1,7

1,8

Conceded

1,5

1,9

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

40% Possession 60%

13 Shots 9

4 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 4

9 Free kicks against 7

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Utrecht 5. · Heracles 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	34	28	2	4	+87	86
2	PSV Eindhoven	34	26	5	3	+72	83
3	Feyenoord	34	20	5	9	+34	65
4	AZ Alkmaar	34	17	7	10	+21	58
5	Utrecht	31	14	7	10	+6	49
6	Heracles	33	15	3	15	-3	48
7	Vitesse	31	12	10	9	+14	46
8	Groningen	33	13	6	14	+2	45
9	Den Haag	34	12	9	13	-5	45
10	Willem II	34	13	5	16	-14	44
11	Heerenveen	34	10	11	13	-9	41
12	VVV Venlo	34	11	8	15	-16	41
13	Zwolle	34	11	6	17	-13	39
14	FC Emmen	34	10	8	16	-31	38
15	For Sittard	34	9	7	18	-30	34
16	Excelsior	34	9	6	19	-33	33
17	De Graafschap	34	8	5	21	-37	29
18	NAC Breda	34	5	8	21	-45	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	17	16	1	0	+51	49
2	Ajax	17	15	2	0	+57	47
3	Feyenoord	17	14	0	3	+27	42
4	AZ Alkmaar	17	11	3	3	+20	36
5	Heracles	17	11	0	6	+12	33
6	Groningen	17	10	1	6	+10	31
7	Vitesse	15	8	6	1	+15	30
8	Utrecht	15	8	4	3	+12	28
9	For Sittard	17	7	5	5	+4	26
10	Den Haag	17	7	4	6	+1	25
11	VVV Venlo	17	7	3	7	+0	24
12	Excelsior	17	6	4	7	-9	22
13	Zwolle	17	6	3	8	+0	21
14	De Graafschap	17	6	3	8	-3	21
15	Willem II	17	6	2	9	-7	20
16	FC Emmen	17	5	5	7	-8	20
17	Heerenveen	17	4	7	6	-8	19
18	NAC Breda	17	4	6	7	-12	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	17	13	0	4	+30	39
2	PSV Eindhoven	17	10	4	3	+21	34
3	Willem II	17	7	3	7	-7	24
4	Feyenoord	17	6	5	6	+7	23
5	AZ Alkmaar	17	6	4	7	+1	22
6	Heerenveen	17	6	4	7	-1	22
7	Utrecht	16	6	3	7	-6	21
8	Den Haag	17	5	5	7	-6	20
9	Zwolle	17	5	3	9	-13	18
10	FC Emmen	17	5	3	9	-23	18
11	VVV Venlo	17	4	5	8	-16	17
12	Vitesse	16	4	4	8	-1	16
13	Heracles	16	4	3	9	-15	15
14	Groningen	16	3	5	8	-8	14
15	Excelsior	17	3	2	12	-24	11
16	For Sittard	17	2	2	13	-34	8
17	De Graafschap	17	2	2	13	-34	8
18	NAC Breda	17	1	2	14	-33	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.