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Primeira Liga
Referee: Nuno Miguel Serrano Almeida
Estoril
S U T T U
0–0
Full-time
Boavista
U S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Estoril Boavista
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
2,8
1,2
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
1,7
0,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,5
This season — Primeira Liga · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 26%
20%
32%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
28%
40%
Both score Ø 42%
40%
44%
Average goals
2,2
2,1
Scored
0,8
1,1
Conceded
1,4
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

56% Possession 44%
20 Shots 8
2 Shots on target 1
8 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 2
0 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 17
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Estoril 15. · Boavista 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Benfica 25 20 3 2 +43 63
2 Porto 25 19 5 1 +46 62
3 Sp Lisbon 25 15 6 4 +21 51
4 Sp Braga 25 12 7 6 +15 43
5 Guimaraes 25 11 8 6 +6 41
6 Maritimo 25 10 7 8 +0 37
7 Rio Ave 25 10 5 10 -1 35
8 Boavista 25 8 9 8 +2 33
9 Chaves 25 7 12 6 +1 33
10 Belenenses 25 8 8 9 -7 32
11 Vitoria Setubal 25 8 6 11 -2 30
12 Feirense 25 8 5 12 -17 29
13 Arouca 25 8 3 14 -16 27
14 Pacos Ferreira 25 6 8 11 -11 26
15 Estoril 25 5 6 14 -14 21
16 Moreirense 25 5 5 15 -16 20
17 Nacional 25 3 8 14 -24 17
18 Tondela 25 3 7 15 -26 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Estoril Boavista
Half-time 0–0
64′
🟨 Anderson Carvalho
68′
🔁 Rochinha
↦ Renato Santos
Gustavo Tocantins 🔁
↦ Allano
70′
81′
🔁 E. Mahmudov
↦ Fábio Espinho
Bruno Gomes 🔁
↦ Matheus Índio
88′
89′
🔁 Carraça
↦ Anderson Carvalho
D. Yarchuk 🔁
↦ Carlinhos
90′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Estoril

4-4-2
31 Moreira G
7 Mano D
33 Dankler D
2 João Afonso D
3 Ailton D
25 Diogo Amado M
8 Eduardo M
76 Carlinhos M
20 Matheus Índio M
10 Kléber F
95 Allano M
Bench (7)
14 Gustavo Tocantins
9 Bruno Gomes
19 D. Yarchuk
4 João Basso
15 O. Diakhite
71 K. Bazelyuk
96 Luís Ribeiro

Coach: Fabiano Soares

Boavista

4-3-3
33 Vagner G
3 Lucas D
20 Edu Machado D
5 Talocha D
94 Philipe Sampaio D
10 Fábio Espinho M
27 Anderson Carvalho M
42 I. Mandiang M
7 Renato Santos M
19 I. Bulos F
45 Iuri Medeiros F
Bench (7)
16 Rochinha
15 E. Mahmudov
17 Carraça
22 Carlos Santos
28 Tiago Mesquita
30 A. Schembri
61 Meira

Coach: Miguel Leal

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Nuno Miguel Serrano Almeida · 167 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
28,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.