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Primeira Liga
Referee: Carlos Xistra
Benfica
U S S S U
3–1
Full-time
Sp Braga
T T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Benfica Sp Braga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,3
Scored
2,3
1,5
Conceded
0,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,7
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

60% Possession 40%
16 Shots 8
9 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 4
0 Goalkeeper saves 6
6 Corners 2
1 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 18
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

19. Feb -17 Sp Braga – Benfica 0–1 19. Sep -16 Benfica – Sp Braga 3–1 1. Apr -16 Benfica – Sp Braga 5–1 30. Nov -15 Sp Braga – Benfica 0–2

Match report

Benfica Sp Braga
1–0 H. Seferović ⚽
Jonas
15′
29′
🟨 Rui Fonte
2–0 Jonas ⚽
30′
37′
🟨 Jefferson
Eliseu 🟨
39′
44′
⚽ Koka 2–1
Ricardo Esgaio
Half-time 2–1
Jonas 🟨
52′
3–1 E. Salvio ⚽
57′
66′
🔁 Paulinho
↦ Koka
74′
🔁 Danilo Barbosa
↦ Fransérgio
Filipe Augusto 🔁
↦ E. Salvio
76′
78′
🟨 Danilo
R. Jiménez 🔁
↦ Jonas
83′
83′
🔁 Pedro Neto
↦ Bruno Xadas
Diogo Gonçalves 🔁
↦ F. Cervi
91′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Benfica

4-4-2
30 Bruno Varela G
4 Luisão D
19 Eliseu D
34 André Almeida D
33 Jardel D
5 L. Fejsa M
21 Pizzi M
18 E. Salvio F
22 F. Cervi F
10 Jonas F
14 H. Seferović F
Bench (7)
6 Filipe Augusto
9 R. Jiménez
84 Diogo Gonçalves
2 L. López
13 Paulo Lopes
27 Rafa Silva
42 M. Chrien

Coach: Rui Vitória

Sp Braga

4-4-2
1 Matheus G
4 Jefferson D
34 Raúl Silva D
47 Ricardo Esgaio M
3 L. Rosić D
27 Fransérgio M
35 N.S. Vukčević M
21 Ricardo Horta M
10 Bruno Xadas M
17 Rui Fonte F
9 Koka F
Bench (7)
20 Paulinho
11 Danilo Barbosa
71 Pedro Neto
25 André Moreira
26 Fábio Martins
36 Bruno Vianna
87 Marcelo Goiano

Coach: Abel Ferreira

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Carlos Xistra · 87 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.