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Primeira Liga

Referee: Jorge de Sousa

Benfica

S S U S S

3–1

Full-time

Sp Braga

T S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Benfica Sp Braga

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

83%

50%

Points per game

2,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,0

2,3

Scored

2,3

1,3

Conceded

0,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,7

+0,3

This season — Primeira Liga · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 75%

75%

Points per game

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 63%

75%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,5

Scored

2,0

Conceded

0,8

0,5

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

57% Possession 43%

17 Shots 12

10 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 7

5 Corners 9

2 Offside 3

9 Free kicks against 12

0 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Benfica 4. · Sp Braga 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	5	4	0	1	+5	12
2	Sp Braga	4	3	1	0	+6	10
3	Porto	5	3	1	1	+5	10
4	Benfica	4	3	1	0	+5	10
5	Rio Ave	5	3	1	1	+2	10
6	Chaves	5	2	3	0	+2	9
7	Feirense	5	3	0	2	+0	9
8	Vitoria Setubal	5	2	2	1	+1	8
9	Belenenses	5	2	2	1	+0	8
10	Guimaraes	5	2	1	2	+0	7
11	Pacos Ferreira	5	1	2	2	+0	5
12	Boavista	5	1	2	2	-2	5
13	Moreirense	5	1	1	3	-3	4
14	Estoril	5	1	1	3	-3	4
15	Nacional	5	1	0	4	-4	3
16	Arouca	5	1	0	4	-4	3
17	Maritimo	5	1	0	4	-6	3
18	Tondela	5	0	2	3	-4	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Porto	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Rio Ave	3	2	0	1	+1	6
4	Vitoria Setubal	3	2	0	1	+1	6
5	Sp Braga	2	1	1	0	+3	4
6	Guimaraes	3	1	1	1	+1	4
7	Boavista	3	1	1	1	+1	4
8	Belenenses	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Arouca	3	1	0	2	+0	3
10	Nacional	3	1	0	2	-1	3
11	Estoril	3	1	0	2	-2	3
12	Feirense	2	1	0	1	-2	3
13	Chaves	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Benfica	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Moreirense	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Pacos Ferreira	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Tondela	3	0	1	2	-3	1
18	Maritimo	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Chaves	3	2	1	0	+2	7
3	Sp Braga	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Feirense	3	2	0	1	+2	6
5	Pacos Ferreira	3	1	1	1	+1	4
6	Porto	3	1	1	1	+1	4
7	Rio Ave	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Belenenses	3	1	1	1	-1	4
9	Guimaraes	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Sp Lisbon	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Moreirense	3	1	0	2	-2	3
12	Maritimo	3	1	0	2	-3	3
13	Vitoria Setubal	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Tondela	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Estoril	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Boavista	2	0	1	1	-3	1
17	Nacional	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Arouca	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.