Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
Unlock with ProAlready have an account? Log in
Team trends
St Truiden
Genk
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
Unlock with ProAlready have an account? Log in
The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
Unlock with ProAlready have an account? Log in
The table before the match St Truiden 3. · Genk 4. ▾
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Club Brugge
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 7 |
| 2 |
Oostende
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 7 |
| 3 |
St Truiden
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 7 |
| 4 |
Genk
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 5 |
Anderlecht
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 6 |
Gent
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 7 |
Westerlo
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
| 8 |
Charleroi
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 |
| 9 |
Waregem
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +0 | 3 |
| 10 |
Beveren
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 11 |
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 12 |
Mechelen
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 13 |
Kortrijk
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 |
Lokeren
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 15 |
Royal Excel Mouscron
|
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Match report
Line-ups
St Truiden
R. Schoofs
J. Dompé
Bench (7)
Genk
C. Kabasele
T. Castagne
B. Heynen
S. Schrijvers
E. Ünal
Bench (7)
Odds comparison
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.