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Pro League
Gent
U U U T S
1–1
Full-time
Anderlecht
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent Anderlecht
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,8
This season — Pro League · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 61%
61%
61%
Points per game
2,1
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
48%
48%
Both score Ø 55%
52%
57%
Average goals
2,7
2,6
Scored
1,9
1,7
Conceded
0,8
0,9
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Gent 2. · Anderlecht 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 24 18 1 5 +37 55
2 Gent 23 14 6 3 +24 48
3 Anderlecht 23 14 6 3 +17 48
4 Genk 22 13 3 6 +16 42
5 Oostende 24 11 6 7 +7 39
6 Mechelen 27 10 6 11 -3 36
7 Standard 27 11 3 13 -14 36
8 Waregem 24 9 6 9 +5 33
9 Charleroi 23 8 6 9 -1 30
10 Kortrijk 25 7 9 9 -6 30
11 Royal Excel Mouscron 27 7 9 11 -7 30
12 Lokeren 27 8 6 13 -7 30
13 Westerlo 30 7 9 14 -24 30
14 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 30 7 8 15 -11 29
15 St Truiden 27 8 3 16 -15 27
16 Beveren 27 7 5 15 -18 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gent Anderlecht
Half-time 0–0
M. Simon 🔁
↦ T. Matton
61′
63′
🔁 F. Đuričić
↦ A. Büttner
64′
B. Nuytinck 0–1
1–1 K. Saief
68′
S. Mitrović 🔁
↦ L. Nielsen
79′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Gent

1 M. Sels
21 N. Asare
55 R. Gershon
23 L. Nielsen
77 D. Miličević
8 T. Matton
14 S. Kums
10 Renato Neto
15 K. Saief
32 T. Foket
9 L. Depoitre
Bench (7)
27 M. Simon
13 S. Mitrović
4 Rafinha
18 L. Deaux
20 Y. Thoelen
22 G. Wikheim
17 H. Van der Bruggen

Anderlecht

1 S. Proto
28 A. Büttner
14 B. Nuytinck
4 K. Mbodji
16 S. Defour
10 D. Praet
32 L. Dendoncker
8 S. Badji
31 Y. Tielemans
99 S. Okaka
18 F. Acheampong
Bench (7)
11 F. Đuričić
3 O. Deschacht
17 I. Conté
24 M. Heylen
26 Idrissa Sylla
27 Trézéguet
33 D. Roef

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.