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Pro League
Anderlecht
U T U T S
1–0
Full-time
Genk
S S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Anderlecht Genk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,3
Scored
1,8
1,7
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,0
This season — Pro League · 20/18 matches
Win Ø 56%
55%
56%
Points per game
2,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
50%
56%
Both score Ø 55%
60%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,6
Conceded
1,0
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Anderlecht 3. · Genk 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 21 17 1 3 +38 52
2 Gent 21 13 6 2 +24 45
3 Anderlecht 20 11 6 3 +14 39
4 Oostende 21 11 5 5 +13 38
5 Genk 18 10 3 5 +10 33
6 Mechelen 25 9 6 10 -3 33
7 Waregem 21 9 5 7 +7 32
8 Standard 24 10 2 12 -13 32
9 Westerlo 30 7 9 14 -24 30
10 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 30 7 8 15 -11 29
11 Lokeren 25 7 6 12 -7 27
12 Charleroi 21 7 5 9 -2 26
13 Kortrijk 23 6 8 9 -7 26
14 Royal Excel Mouscron 25 6 8 11 -9 26
15 St Truiden 25 8 2 15 -14 26
16 Beveren 24 7 4 13 -16 25

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Anderlecht Genk
Half-time 0–1
0–1 M. Bizot
own goal
65′
66′
🔁 M. Samatta
↦ N. Karelis
D. Lukebakio 🔁
↦ F. Đuričić
72′
79′
🔁 N. Kebano
↦ R. Malinovskiy
83′
🔁 I. de Camargo
↦ L. Bailey
O. Deschacht 🔁
↦ D. Praet
88′
Idrissa Sylla 🔁
↦ S. Okaka
93′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Anderlecht

1 S. Proto
28 A. Büttner
14 B. Nuytinck
4 K. Mbodji
11 F. Đuričić
7 A. Najar
10 D. Praet
17 I. Conté
8 S. Badji
31 Y. Tielemans
99 S. Okaka
Bench (7)
46 D. Lukebakio
3 O. Deschacht
26 Idrissa Sylla
2 Rafael Galhardo
24 M. Heylen
27 Trézéguet
33 D. Roef

Genk

1 M. Bizot
4 B. Hamalainen
27 C. Kabasele
6 S. Dewaest
41 T. Castagne
25 O. Ndidi
24 Pozuelo
18 R. Malinovskiy
19 T. Buffel
7 N. Karelis
31 L. Bailey
Bench (7)
77 M. Samatta
92 N. Kebano
11 I. de Camargo
8 B. Kumordzi
21 J. Uronen
26 L. Köteles
71 Y. Buyens

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.