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Eliteserien

Referee: Tore Hansen

Tromso

T S T S U

3–0

Full-time

Fredrikstad

S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tromso Fredrikstad

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,2

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,8

3,3

Scored

1,3

2,7

Conceded

1,5

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+2,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 9/10 matches

Win Ø 41%

22%

60%

Points per game

0,8

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

67%

40%

Both score Ø 37%

33%

40%

Average goals

3,0

2,6

Scored

1,1

1,9

Conceded

1,9

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,78 xG 0,76

46% Possession 54%

13 Shots 10

10 Shots on target 1

1 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 7

5 Corners 6

3 Offside 2

5 Free kicks against 11

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Tromso 16. · Fredrikstad 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	10	7	2	1	+16	+7.4	23
2	Fredrikstad	10	6	3	1	+12	+1.8	21
3	Brann	11	6	3	2	+7	+7.9	21
4	Molde	11	6	2	3	+9	+9.4	20
5	Viking	10	5	3	2	+5	+5.2	18
6	Stromsgodset	10	5	1	4	-1	-2.2	16
7	KFUM Oslo	10	3	5	2	+0	+3.4	14
8	Rosenborg	10	4	1	5	-3	-3.0	13
9	Haugesund	10	4	1	5	-4	-1.8	13
10	Odd	11	3	3	5	-10	-11.7	12
11	Ham-Kam	11	2	4	5	+0	-0.9	10
12	Kristiansund	10	2	4	4	-4	-4.0	10
13	Lillestrom	10	3	1	6	-7	-3.3	10
14	Sarpsborg 08	10	3	1	6	-9	-3.4	10
15	Sandefjord	9	2	1	6	-4	+1.6	7
16	Tromso	9	2	1	6	-7	-6.4	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brann	6	4	0	2	+3	+6.2	12
2	Bodo/Glimt	5	3	2	0	+6	+3.7	11
3	Viking	6	3	2	1	+2	+2.3	11
4	Molde	6	3	1	2	+4	+8.3	10
5	Rosenborg	5	3	0	2	+0	+1.8	9
6	Fredrikstad	5	2	2	1	+2	+1.7	8
7	Stromsgodset	4	2	1	1	+2	+0.1	7
8	Sandefjord	4	2	0	2	+1	-0.2	6
9	Tromso	5	2	0	3	-1	-1.1	6
10	Kristiansund	5	1	3	1	-1	+1.7	6
11	Haugesund	5	2	0	3	-3	+1.5	6
12	Odd	6	1	2	3	-6	-4.4	5
13	Ham-Kam	4	1	1	2	-1	-1.2	4
14	KFUM Oslo	5	0	3	2	-5	+3.8	3
15	Sarpsborg 08	5	1	0	4	-10	+0.1	3
16	Lillestrom	5	0	1	4	-11	-3.6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fredrikstad	5	4	1	0	+10	+0.2	13
2	Bodo/Glimt	5	4	0	1	+10	+3.7	12
3	KFUM Oslo	5	3	2	0	+5	-0.4	11
4	Molde	5	3	1	1	+5	+1.1	10
5	Brann	5	2	3	0	+4	+1.6	9
6	Lillestrom	5	3	0	2	+4	+0.2	9
7	Stromsgodset	6	3	0	3	-3	-2.3	9
8	Viking	4	2	1	1	+3	+2.9	7
9	Sarpsborg 08	5	2	1	2	+1	-3.5	7
10	Haugesund	5	2	1	2	-1	-3.2	7
11	Odd	5	2	1	2	-4	-7.4	7
12	Ham-Kam	7	1	3	3	+1	+0.3	6
13	Rosenborg	5	1	1	3	-3	-4.8	4
14	Kristiansund	5	1	1	3	-3	-5.7	4
15	Sandefjord	5	0	1	4	-5	+1.8	1
16	Tromso	4	0	1	3	-6	-5.3	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.