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Eliteserien

Referee: R Saggi

Fredrikstad

S S S S S

0–0

Full-time

Tromso

T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fredrikstad Tromso

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

100%

33%

Points per game

3,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,5

3,3

Scored

2,8

1,3

Conceded

0,7

2,0

Goal diff per game

+2,2

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 9/8 matches

Win Ø 46%

67%

25%

Points per game

2,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

44%

75%

Both score Ø 41%

44%

38%

Average goals

2,9

3,4

Scored

2,1

1,3

Conceded

0,8

2,1

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-0,9

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,13 xG 1,65

36% Possession 64%

5 Shots 21

1 Shots on target 7

2 Blocked shots 6

7 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 5

1 Offside 0

6 Free kicks against 14

0 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fredrikstad 3. · Tromso 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	10	7	2	1	+16	+7.4	23
2	Brann	10	6	3	1	+9	+7.9	21
3	Fredrikstad	9	6	2	1	+12	+2.4	20
4	Molde	10	5	2	3	+7	+9.4	17
5	Viking	9	4	3	2	+2	+5.1	15
6	KFUM Oslo	10	3	5	2	+0	+3.4	14
7	Stromsgodset	9	4	1	4	-3	-2.5	13
8	Ham-Kam	10	2	4	4	+3	-0.8	10
9	Kristiansund	9	2	4	3	-3	-1.1	10
10	Rosenborg	9	3	1	5	-4	-5.9	10
11	Haugesund	9	3	1	5	-5	-0.9	10
12	Lillestrom	9	3	1	5	-6	-2.9	10
13	Sarpsborg 08	9	3	1	5	-7	-3.0	10
14	Odd	10	2	3	5	-11	-12.2	9
15	Sandefjord	8	2	1	5	-3	+0.8	7
16	Tromso	8	2	0	6	-7	-6.9	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brann	5	4	0	1	+5	+6.2	12
2	Bodo/Glimt	5	3	2	0	+6	+3.7	11
3	Molde	6	3	1	2	+4	+8.3	10
4	Viking	5	2	2	1	-1	+2.1	8
5	Fredrikstad	4	2	1	1	+2	+2.2	7
6	Stromsgodset	4	2	1	1	+2	+0.1	7
7	Sandefjord	4	2	0	2	+1	-0.2	6
8	Tromso	5	2	0	3	-1	-1.1	6
9	Kristiansund	5	1	3	1	-1	+1.7	6
10	Rosenborg	4	2	0	2	-1	-1.2	6
11	Ham-Kam	4	1	1	2	-1	-1.2	4
12	Haugesund	4	1	0	3	-4	+2.3	3
13	KFUM Oslo	5	0	3	2	-5	+3.8	3
14	Sarpsborg 08	4	1	0	3	-8	+0.5	3
15	Odd	5	0	2	3	-7	-4.8	2
16	Lillestrom	5	0	1	4	-11	-3.6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fredrikstad	5	4	1	0	+10	+0.2	13
2	Bodo/Glimt	5	4	0	1	+10	+3.7	12
3	KFUM Oslo	5	3	2	0	+5	-0.4	11
4	Lillestrom	4	3	0	1	+5	+0.7	9
5	Brann	5	2	3	0	+4	+1.6	9
6	Viking	4	2	1	1	+3	+2.9	7
7	Molde	4	2	1	1	+3	+1.1	7
8	Sarpsborg 08	5	2	1	2	+1	-3.5	7
9	Haugesund	5	2	1	2	-1	-3.2	7
10	Odd	5	2	1	2	-4	-7.4	7
11	Ham-Kam	6	1	3	2	+4	+0.4	6
12	Stromsgodset	5	2	0	3	-5	-2.6	6
13	Kristiansund	4	1	1	2	-2	-2.8	4
14	Rosenborg	5	1	1	3	-3	-4.8	4
15	Sandefjord	4	0	1	3	-4	+1.0	1
16	Tromso	3	0	0	3	-6	-5.9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.