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Eliteserien

Referee: Daniel Higraff

Valerenga

U S T T S

1–1

Full-time

Fredrikstad

T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valerenga Fredrikstad

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,2

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,7

2,8

Scored

1,3

0,8

Conceded

1,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 38%

33%

42%

Points per game

1,2

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

42%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

58%

25%

Average goals

2,8

2,3

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,5

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,28 xG 1,49

57% Possession 43%

16 Shots 16

5 Shots on target 7

6 Blocked shots 2

6 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 5

6 Free kicks against 15

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Valerenga 11. · Fredrikstad 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	15	11	3	1	+22	+16.5	36
2	Brann	14	8	3	3	+3	+13.4	27
3	Rosenborg	13	6	5	2	+3	+6.0	23
4	Tromso	11	7	1	3	+5	+0.9	22
5	Bodo/Glimt	10	6	1	3	+14	+8.1	19
6	Sandefjord	11	6	0	5	+4	-0.1	18
7	Sarpsborg 08	11	4	5	2	+7	+5.0	17
8	Fredrikstad	12	5	2	5	+1	-2.3	17
9	Kristiansund	13	5	2	6	-2	-5.1	17
10	Molde	12	4	2	6	-1	+0.1	14
11	Valerenga	12	4	2	6	-2	-0.8	14
12	Bryne	11	4	2	5	-3	-0.1	14
13	Ham-Kam	12	3	4	5	-9	-7.1	13
14	KFUM Oslo	11	3	2	6	-3	-0.8	11
15	Stromsgodset	12	2	0	10	-12	-11.4	6
16	Haugesund	12	0	2	10	-27	-22.2	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	8	6	2	0	+14	+10.8	20
2	Brann	8	5	2	1	+4	+8.1	17
3	Sandefjord	5	5	0	0	+11	+4.6	15
4	Fredrikstad	7	4	1	2	+5	-0.7	13
5	Rosenborg	7	3	4	0	+5	+6.9	13
6	Bodo/Glimt	6	4	0	2	+10	+6.0	12
7	Bryne	6	3	1	2	+0	+3.3	10
8	Tromso	5	3	0	2	+1	+2.1	9
9	Ham-Kam	6	2	2	2	-3	-3.3	8
10	KFUM Oslo	5	2	0	3	+2	-0.5	6
11	Kristiansund	5	2	0	3	+0	+0.6	6
12	Sarpsborg 08	5	1	2	2	+2	+3.6	5
13	Valerenga	5	1	1	3	-3	-1.0	4
14	Molde	6	1	1	4	-4	+0.9	4
15	Haugesund	6	0	2	4	-14	-6.7	2
16	Stromsgodset	6	0	0	6	-10	-4.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	7	5	1	1	+8	+5.7	16
2	Tromso	6	4	1	1	+4	-1.2	13
3	Sarpsborg 08	6	3	3	0	+5	+1.3	12
4	Kristiansund	8	3	2	3	-2	-5.7	11
5	Molde	6	3	1	2	+3	-0.9	10
6	Valerenga	7	3	1	3	+1	+0.2	10
7	Brann	6	3	1	2	-1	+5.3	10
8	Rosenborg	6	3	1	2	-2	-0.8	10
9	Bodo/Glimt	4	2	1	1	+4	+2.1	7
10	Stromsgodset	6	2	0	4	-2	-6.5	6
11	KFUM Oslo	6	1	2	3	-5	-0.4	5
12	Ham-Kam	6	1	2	3	-6	-3.7	5
13	Bryne	5	1	1	3	-3	-3.4	4
14	Fredrikstad	5	1	1	3	-4	-1.6	4
15	Sandefjord	6	1	0	5	-7	-4.7	3
16	Haugesund	6	0	0	6	-13	-15.5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.