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Eliteserien

Referee: Marius Lien

Bryne

T S T S T

4–3

Full-time

Fredrikstad

U S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bryne Fredrikstad

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,0

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

3,0

2,2

Scored

1,0

1,8

Conceded

2,0

0,3

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 50%

29%

71%

Points per game

0,9

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

71%

29%

Both score Ø 29%

43%

14%

Average goals

3,0

1,7

Scored

1,1

1,4

Conceded

1,9

0,3

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+1,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

2,39 xG 1,75

56% Possession 44%

19 Shots 11

8 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 5

7 Corners 3

3 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 6

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bryne 13. · Fredrikstad 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	9	6	2	1	+14	+12.1	20
2	Rosenborg	8	5	3	0	+8	+8.6	18
3	Brann	8	5	2	1	+4	+6.7	17
4	Fredrikstad	7	5	1	1	+8	-2.0	16
5	Kristiansund	9	4	1	4	-2	-3.5	13
6	Sarpsborg 08	7	3	3	1	+7	+4.1	12
7	Sandefjord	7	4	0	3	+1	-1.6	12
8	Bodo/Glimt	5	3	1	1	+6	+5.2	10
9	Tromso	7	3	1	3	+0	+1.8	10
10	Molde	7	2	2	3	-2	+2.1	8
11	Valerenga	8	2	2	4	-3	-0.4	8
12	Stromsgodset	7	2	0	5	+0	-1.6	6
13	Bryne	7	2	0	5	-5	-0.9	6
14	Ham-Kam	7	1	2	4	-11	-7.7	5
15	KFUM Oslo	7	1	1	5	-8	-4.2	4
16	Haugesund	8	0	1	7	-17	-18.6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	6	4	2	0	+10	+8.1	14
2	Fredrikstad	4	4	0	0	+8	-1.2	12
3	Rosenborg	5	3	2	0	+5	+8.1	11
4	Brann	5	3	2	0	+4	+3.9	11
5	Sandefjord	3	3	0	0	+6	+0.6	9
6	Bodo/Glimt	2	2	0	0	+6	+3.9	6
7	Tromso	4	2	0	2	+0	+1.4	6
8	Sarpsborg 08	3	1	1	1	+3	+2.6	4
9	Valerenga	4	1	1	2	-2	-0.3	4
10	Molde	4	1	1	2	-2	+2.9	4
11	Ham-Kam	3	1	1	1	-2	-1.7	4
12	KFUM Oslo	3	1	0	2	-2	-2.0	3
13	Bryne	3	1	0	2	-2	+2.3	3
14	Kristiansund	3	1	0	2	-2	+0.4	3
15	Haugesund	3	0	1	2	-8	-3.9	1
16	Stromsgodset	4	0	0	4	-5	-2.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Kristiansund	6	3	1	2	+0	-3.9	10
2	Sarpsborg 08	4	2	2	0	+4	+1.5	8
3	Rosenborg	3	2	1	0	+3	+0.6	7
4	Stromsgodset	3	2	0	1	+5	+0.6	6
5	Viking	3	2	0	1	+4	+4.0	6
6	Brann	3	2	0	1	+0	+2.8	6
7	Tromso	3	1	1	1	+0	+0.3	4
8	Bodo/Glimt	3	1	1	1	+0	+1.3	4
9	Molde	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.8	4
10	Fredrikstad	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.8	4
11	Valerenga	4	1	1	2	-1	-0.1	4
12	Bryne	4	1	0	3	-3	-3.2	3
13	Sandefjord	4	1	0	3	-5	-2.2	3
14	KFUM Oslo	4	0	1	3	-6	-2.1	1
15	Ham-Kam	4	0	1	3	-9	-6.0	1
16	Haugesund	5	0	0	5	-9	-14.7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.