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Eliteserien
Referee: Tore Hansen
Sarpsborg 08
U S S S U
2–2
Full-time
Rosenborg
T U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sarpsborg 08 Rosenborg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
2,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eliteserien · 13/15 matches
Win Ø 43%
38%
47%
Points per game
1,6
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 37%
46%
27%
Both score Ø 48%
62%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,1
Scored
1,6
1,1
Conceded
0,9
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

2,45 xG 1,65
53% Possession 47%
16 Shots 13
7 Shots on target 4
7 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 1
1 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sarpsborg 08 6. · Rosenborg 5.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Viking 16 11 3 2 +20 +15.4 36
2 Brann 15 9 3 3 +5 +14.4 30
3 Tromso 13 9 1 3 +7 +3.4 28
4 Bodo/Glimt 13 8 2 3 +17 +16.6 26
5 Rosenborg 15 7 5 3 +3 +7.8 26
6 Sarpsborg 08 13 5 6 2 +9 +8.8 21
7 Sandefjord 13 7 0 6 +4 -4.0 21
8 Fredrikstad 15 6 3 6 +2 -4.0 21
9 Kristiansund 15 5 4 6 -2 -10.3 19
10 Bryne 13 5 3 5 -2 -0.3 18
11 KFUM Oslo 13 4 3 6 -1 +0.2 15
12 Valerenga 14 4 3 7 -3 -1.5 15
13 Molde 14 4 2 8 -4 -1.8 14
14 Ham-Kam 13 3 4 6 -11 -8.8 13
15 Stromsgodset 13 2 0 11 -13 -12.7 6
16 Haugesund 14 0 2 12 -31 -23.3 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sarpsborg 08 Rosenborg
5′
D. Islamovic 0–1
E. K. Ceide
10′
🟨 Santeri Väänänen
Jo Inge Berget ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
18′
1–1 D. Karlsbakk
20′
34′
A. F. Witry 1–2
N. Holm
Half-time 1–2
M. Odegaard 🔁
↦ P. Reinhardsen
46′
H. Bruseth 🔁
↦ V. E. Halvorsen
46′
Sondre Ørjasæter 🟨
51′
Mamour Ndiaye 🟨
52′
57′
🟨 Tomáš Nemčík
57′
🔁 U. Jenssen
↦ A. Pereira
A. Sanyang 🔁
↦ N. Sandberg
64′
70′
🔁 L. Racic
↦ T. Nemcik
70′
🔁 J. Reitan-Sunde
↦ N. Holm
77′
🟨 Aslak Fonn Witry
81′
🔁 O. Saeter
↦ E. K. Ceide
81′
🔁 H. Sletsjoe
↦ M. Zeidan
85′
🟨 Ole Christian Saeter
2–2 J. Berget
M. Jeahze
87′
92′
🟨 Henry Sletsjoe
H. Tangen 🔁
↦ S. Christiansen
93′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Sarpsborg 08

4-2-3-1
1 M. Ndiaye G
20 P. Reinhardsen
2 M. Koch D
30 F. Tebo Uchenna D
3 M. Jeahze D
22 V. E. Halvorsen
8 S. Christiansen M
23 N. Sandberg M
14 J. Berget M
27 S. Orjasaeter M
11 D. Karlsbakk F
Bench (9)
31 H. Jenssen
5 M. Odegaard
7 A. Sanyang
10 H. Tangen
17 H. Bruseth
19 S. Gudjohnsen
26 D. Job
4 N. Skuseth
81 M. Svenningsen Gronn

Coach: Sander Nyland

Rosenborg

4-3-3
1 S. Tangvik G
16 A. F. Witry D
38 M. K. Ceide D
21 T. Nemcik D
19 A. Pereira D
6 S. Vaananen M
10 O. Selnaes M
5 M. Zeidan M
18 N. Holm F
39 D. Islamovic F
35 E. K. Ceide F
Bench (9)
12 R. Sandberg
9 O. Saeter
4 L. Racic
15 J. Mortensen
22 H. Sletsjoe
23 U. Jenssen
45 J. Reitan-Sunde
50 H. Volden
60 E. Slordal

Coach: Alfred Johansson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Tore Hansen · 217 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.