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Eliteserien
Referee: Marius Lien
Kristiansund
T S S T T
4–1
Full-time
Rosenborg
S S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kristiansund Rosenborg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
3,3
2,3
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eliteserien · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 46%
36%
55%
Points per game
1,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
55%
27%
Both score Ø 46%
64%
27%
Average goals
2,8
1,8
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,6
0,6
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

1,58 xG 1,04
49% Possession 51%
15 Shots 12
9 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
3 Corners 9
3 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kristiansund 10. · Rosenborg 3.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Viking 12 9 2 1 +18 +13.7 29
2 Brann 12 7 2 3 +2 +10.4 23
3 Rosenborg 11 6 4 1 +6 +6.7 22
4 Bodo/Glimt 9 6 1 2 +15 +7.7 19
5 Fredrikstad 10 5 2 3 +5 -2.9 17
6 Tromso 9 5 1 3 +2 +1.6 16
7 Sandefjord 9 5 0 4 +1 +0.5 15
8 Molde 11 4 2 5 +0 +0.8 14
9 Sarpsborg 08 9 3 4 2 +6 +5.2 13
10 Kristiansund 11 4 1 6 -5 -5.9 13
11 Bryne 9 4 0 5 -3 +0.8 12
12 Valerenga 11 3 2 6 -4 -1.9 11
13 Ham-Kam 9 3 2 4 -7 -6.2 11
14 Stromsgodset 9 2 0 7 -4 -6.4 6
15 KFUM Oslo 9 1 2 6 -9 -2.9 5
16 Haugesund 10 0 1 9 -23 -21.2 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kristiansund Rosenborg
Marius Olsen 🟨
13′
1–0 S. Kilen
R. Alte
21′
2–0 S. Kilen
M. Isah
33′
3–0 R. Alte
M. Isah
36′
45′
E. K. Ceide 3–1
O. Selnaes
Half-time 3–1
46′
🔁 S. Vaananen
↦ M. Zeidan
46′
🔁 A. Pereira
↦ J. Mortensen
54′
🟨 Ulrik Jenssen
A. Ndour 🔁
↦ M. Isah
61′
65′
🔁 I. Thorvaldsson
↦ H. Volden
H. Haugen 🔁
↦ S. Kilen
74′
David Tufekcic 🟨
77′
F. Flex 🔁
↦ I. Hoffmann
80′
M. Williamsen 🔁
↦ R. Alte
80′
4–1 H. Haugen
A. Ndour
85′
Alioune Ndour 🟨
88′
93′
🟨 Noah Jean Holm
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Kristiansund

4-1-4-1
26 A. Skjaerstein G
22 I. Hoffmann D
4 M. Olsen
5 D. Ulvestad D
15 M. Rakneberg D
20 W. Igor M
16 D. Tufekcic
18 N. Odegard M
8 R. Alte M
9 S. Kilen
7 M. Isah
Bench (9)
40 S. Rod
3 F. Flex
11 F. Nyenetue
17 M. Williamsen
21 I. Jelicic
24 A. Alemseged
25 A. Ndour
31 H. Opsahl
33 H. Haugen

Coach: Amund Robertsen Skiri

Rosenborg

4-3-3
1 S. Tangvik G
15 J. Mortensen D
38 M. K. Ceide D
50 H. Volden D
23 U. Jenssen D
5 M. Zeidan M
10 O. Selnaes M
8 I. Fossum M
18 N. Holm F
39 D. Islamovic F
35 E. K. Ceide F
Bench (9)
12 R. Sandberg
2 E. Reitan
6 S. Vaananen
9 O. Saeter
17 I. Thorvaldsson
19 A. Pereira
22 H. Sletsjoe
45 J. Reitan-Sunde
55 E. Sandrod

Coach: Alfred Johansson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Marius Lien · 28 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.