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Championship
Referee: D England
Nott'm Forest
T T S S S
1–2
Full-time
West Brom
U S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nott'm Forest West Brom
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
2,2
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

45% Possession 55%
15 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 5
2 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 6
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sheffield Weds 1 1 0 0 +2 3
2 Wigan 1 1 0 0 +1 3
3 Charlton 1 1 0 0 +1 3
4 QPR 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 Swansea 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Birmingham 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Barnsley 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Millwall 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Luton 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Middlesbrough 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Cardiff 1 0 0 1 -1 0
12 Blackburn 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 Stoke 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Hull 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Brentford 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Fulham 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Preston 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Reading 1 0 0 1 -2 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nott'm Forest West Brom
1–0 M. Cash
A. Adomah
8′
15′
K. Edwards 1–1
26′
M. Phillips 1–2
N. Ferguson
Half-time 1–2
Rafa Mir 🔁
↦ Tiago Silva
62′
63′
🔁 O. Burke
↦ K. Zohorè
71′
🔁 C. Townsend
↦ K. Gibbs
S. Ameobi 🔁
↦ J. Lolley
72′
84′
🔁 R. Harper
↦ K. Edwards
85′
🟨 Romaine Sawyers
B. Johnson 🔁
↦ Alfa Semedo
88′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Nott'm Forest

4-1-4-1
49 A. Murić G
20 M. Dawson D
18 J. Robinson D
4 J. Worrall D
8 B. Watson M
37 A. Adomah M
28 Tiago Silva M
17 Alfa Semedo M
11 M. Cash D
7 L. Grabban F
23 J. Lolley M
Bench (7)
14 Rafa Mir
19 S. Ameobi
40 B. Johnson
2 Yuri Ribeiro
3 Tobias Figueiredo
12 J. Smith
45 J. Richardson

Coach: S. Lamouchi

West Brom

4-2-3-1
1 S. Johnstone G
3 K. Gibbs D
5 K. Bartley D
6 S. Ajayi D
10 M. Phillips M
8 J. Livermore M
19 R. Sawyers M
7 F. Krovinović M
21 K. Edwards M
36 N. Ferguson D
9 K. Zohorè F
Bench (7)
17 O. Burke
14 C. Townsend
16 R. Harper
23 J. Bond
20 J. Leko
2 D. Furlong
27 D. O'Shea

Coach: S. Bilić

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,42
U
3,29
B ✓
2,97
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,91
U2,5
1,90
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D England · 172 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.