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Pro League
Referee: Bram Van Driessche
Mechelen
U U T S S
3–1
Full-time
Genk
S T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mechelen Genk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,8
This season — Pro League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
0,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

49% Possession 51%
11 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 4
1 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mechelen 5. · Genk 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 3 3 0 0 +10 9
2 Standard 2 2 0 0 +6 6
3 Oostende 2 2 0 0 +3 6
4 Antwerp 1 1 0 0 +3 3
5 Mechelen 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Genk 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Mouscron 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Royal Excel Mouscron 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Charleroi 2 0 2 0 +0 2
10 Gent 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Kortrijk 2 0 1 1 -1 1
12 Anderlecht 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 Waasland-Beveren 1 0 0 1 -2 0
14 Beveren 1 0 0 1 -2 0
15 Eupen 1 0 0 1 -3 0
16 Cercle Brugge 2 0 0 2 -4 0
17 Waregem 2 0 0 2 -6 0
18 St Truiden 3 0 0 3 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mechelen Genk
1–0 W. Togui
G. Engvall
18′
A. Corryn 🔁
↦ J. Van Damme
21′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 I. Hagi
↦ B. Nygren
49′
M. Samatta 1–1
B. Heynen
Gustav Engvall 🟨
54′
I. de Camargo 🔁
↦ W. Togui
71′
72′
🔁 M. Benson
↦ J. Ito
2–1 G. Engvall
R. Schoofs
77′
3–1 I. de Camargo
G. Engvall
80′
83′
🔁 S. Odey
↦ J. Paintsil
S. Bateau 🔁
↦ G. Engvall
88′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Mechelen

4-3-3
15 Y. Thoelen
5 A. Swinkels D
3 L. Bijker D
23 T. Peyre D
2 J. Van Cleemput D
8 O. Kaya M
13 J. Van Damme M
16 R. Schoofs M
11 N. Storm F
20 G. Engvall F
9 W. Togui F
Bench (7)
22 A. Corryn
10 I. de Camargo
4 S. Bateau
33 G. Alexander
39 A. El Messaoudi
12 S. Bouzian
40 A. Vranckx

Coach: W. Vrancken

Genk

4-3-3
28 G. Coucke G
6 S. Dewaest D
21 J. Uronen D
46 C. Cuesta D
31 J. Mæhle M
25 S. Berge M
8 B. Heynen M
10 M. Samatta F
7 J. Ito
11 J. Paintsil F
14 B. Nygren F
Bench (7)
23 I. Hagi
22 M. Benson
15 S. Odey
26 M. Vandevoordt
19 J. Piotrowski
2 C. De Norre
33 J. Lucumí

Coach: F. Mazzù

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
4,06
U
3,68
B
1,83
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,76
U2,5
2,05
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Bram Van Driessche · 82 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.