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Championship

Referee: J Brooks

Preston

U T T S T

3–1

Full-time

Stoke

U U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Preston Stoke

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

3,3

3,2

Scored

1,3

Conceded

2,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,5

This season — Championship · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

67%

100%

Both score Ø 67%

33%

100%

Average goals

3,0

3,7

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

1,3

2,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

49% Possession 51%

8 Shots 8

5 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

0 Corners 4

1 Offside 1

16 Free kicks against 6

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Preston 18. · Stoke 24. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sheffield Weds	4	3	0	1	+4	9
2	Leeds	3	2	1	0	+4	7
3	Charlton	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	West Brom	3	2	1	0	+2	7
5	Swansea	3	2	1	0	+2	7
6	Millwall	3	2	1	0	+2	7
7	Bristol City	4	2	1	1	+1	7
8	Birmingham	4	2	1	1	+0	7
9	Fulham	3	2	0	1	+2	6
10	Blackburn	4	2	0	2	-1	6
11	Derby	4	1	2	1	+0	5
12	Nott'm Forest	3	1	1	1	+2	4
13	Brentford	3	1	1	1	+0	4
14	Hull	4	1	1	2	-1	4
15	Middlesbrough	4	1	1	2	-1	4
16	QPR	3	1	1	1	-1	4
17	Barnsley	4	1	1	2	-3	4
18	Preston	3	1	0	2	+1	3
19	Reading	3	1	0	2	+0	3
20	Cardiff	3	1	0	2	-3	3
21	Wigan	4	1	0	3	-5	3
22	Huddersfield	3	0	1	2	-2	1
23	Luton	4	0	1	3	-3	1
24	Stoke	3	0	1	2	-3	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sheffield Weds	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Swansea	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Millwall	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Birmingham	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Barnsley	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Preston	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Nott'm Forest	2	1	0	1	+2	3
8	Charlton	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Fulham	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Reading	2	1	0	1	+1	3
11	Cardiff	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Bristol City	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Hull	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Blackburn	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Middlesbrough	2	1	0	1	+0	3
16	Wigan	2	1	0	1	-1	3
17	Leeds	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	West Brom	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	QPR	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Luton	2	0	1	1	-1	1
21	Stoke	2	0	1	1	-1	1
22	Brentford	2	0	1	1	-1	1
23	Derby	2	0	1	1	-1	1
24	Huddersfield	2	0	0	2	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leeds	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	West Brom	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Charlton	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Derby	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Bristol City	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Sheffield Weds	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Brentford	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Fulham	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	QPR	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Blackburn	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Birmingham	2	1	0	1	-2	3
12	Nott'm Forest	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Millwall	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Huddersfield	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Swansea	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Middlesbrough	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Hull	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Reading	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Preston	2	0	0	2	-2	0
20	Stoke	1	0	0	1	-2	0
21	Luton	2	0	0	2	-2	0
22	Cardiff	2	0	0	2	-4	0
23	Wigan	2	0	0	2	-4	0
24	Barnsley	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.