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Championship
Referee: T Robinson
Wigan
T U U S T
1–0
Full-time
Birmingham
T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wigan Birmingham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,2
This season — Championship · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 33%
22%
44%
Points per game
0,9
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
44%
44%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,6
2,3
Scored
0,9
1,0
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%
12 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 0
5 Blocked shots 5
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 6
2 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 14
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Wigan 21. · Birmingham 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 West Brom 9 5 4 0 +7 19
2 Swansea 9 5 3 1 +7 18
3 Nott'm Forest 9 5 3 1 +6 18
4 Leeds 9 5 2 2 +8 17
5 Preston 9 5 2 2 +7 17
6 Charlton 9 5 2 2 +4 17
7 Sheffield Weds 9 5 1 3 +7 16
8 Bristol City 9 4 4 1 +4 16
9 QPR 9 5 1 3 +0 16
10 Fulham 8 4 2 2 +7 14
11 Blackburn 9 4 1 4 +0 13
12 Birmingham 9 4 1 4 -3 13
13 Cardiff 8 3 3 2 -1 12
14 Brentford 9 3 2 4 +1 11
15 Derby 9 2 5 2 -2 11
16 Hull 9 2 4 3 +0 10
17 Luton 9 3 1 5 -3 10
18 Millwall 9 2 4 3 -5 10
19 Middlesbrough 9 2 3 4 -4 9
20 Reading 9 2 2 5 -2 8
21 Wigan 9 2 2 5 -7 8
22 Barnsley 9 1 2 6 -10 5
23 Huddersfield 9 0 2 7 -10 2
24 Stoke 9 0 2 7 -11 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Wigan Birmingham
Half-time 0–0
J. Garner 🔁
↦ K. Moore
62′
66′
🔁 K. Mrabti
↦ D. Crowley
A. Pilkington 🔁
↦ J. Lowe
69′
73′
🔁 O. Bailey
↦ Fran Villalba
1–0 A. Pilkington
76′
83′
🔁 J. Bellingham
↦ J. Clarke-Salter
L. Evans 🔁
↦ G. Massey
87′
89′
🟨 Harlee Dean
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Wigan

4-2-3-1
1 D. Marshall G
16 C. Mulgrew D
22 C. Dunkley D
3 A. Robinson D
5 Sam Morsy M
2 N. Byrne D
9 J. Lowe M
10 J. Windass M
20 J. Williams M
11 G. Massey M
19 K. Moore F
Bench (7)
14 J. Garner
7 A. Pilkington
8 L. Evans
38 J. Gelhardt
23 J. Jones
6 D. Fox
33 K. Naismith

Coach: P. Cook

Birmingham

4-4-2
1 L. Camp G
12 H. Dean D
5 M. Colin D
3 K. Pedersen D
14 J. Clarke-Salter D
20 G. Gardner M
7 D. Crowley M
34 I. Šunjić M
17 Fran Villalba M
10 L. Jutkiewicz F
24 Álvaro Giménez F
Bench (7)
18 K. Mrabti
37 O. Bailey
22 J. Bellingham
2 W. Harding
13 D. Stockdale
43 G. Bajrami
26 D. Davis

Coach: Josep Clotet Ruiz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,49
U
3,18
B
2,99
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,21
U2,5 ✓
1,67
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

T Robinson · 200 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.