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LaLiga2

Vallecano

T S U U U

1–1

Full-time

Alcorcon

T U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vallecano Alcorcon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,0

3,3

Scored

1,7

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,0

This season — LaLiga2 · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 32%

25%

38%

Points per game

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

50%

63%

Both score Ø 69%

88%

50%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

1,6

1,5

Conceded

1,4

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

11 Shots 9

5 Shots on target 4

8 Corners 3

24 Free kicks against 18

7 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Vallecano 9. · Alcorcon 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cadiz	8	6	1	1	+5	19
2	Almeria	8	5	2	1	+9	17
3	Zaragoza	7	4	3	0	+8	15
4	Huesca	8	5	0	3	+3	15
5	Fuenlabrada	8	4	2	2	+2	14
6	Numancia	9	3	4	2	+2	13
7	Albacete	9	4	1	4	-6	13
8	Elche	9	3	3	3	-1	12
9	Vallecano	8	2	5	1	+2	11
10	Tenerife	8	3	2	3	+1	11
11	Alcorcon	8	3	2	3	+0	11
12	Ponferradina	8	2	4	2	+2	10
13	Girona	8	3	1	4	-2	10
14	Extremadura UD	9	2	3	4	-1	9
15	Las Palmas	8	2	3	3	-3	9
16	Santander	9	1	5	3	+0	8
17	Sp Gijon	8	1	5	2	+0	8
18	Lugo	8	1	5	2	-3	8
19	Malaga	8	1	4	3	-2	7
20	La Coruna	8	1	4	3	-4	7
21	Mirandes	8	1	4	3	-6	7
22	Oviedo	8	0	3	5	-6	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cadiz	4	3	1	0	+5	10
2	Zaragoza	4	3	1	0	+5	10
3	Girona	4	3	1	0	+4	10
4	Numancia	5	3	1	1	+3	10
5	Almeria	4	3	0	1	+5	9
6	Huesca	4	3	0	1	+3	9
7	Ponferradina	4	2	2	0	+5	8
8	Vallecano	4	2	2	0	+4	8
9	Las Palmas	5	2	1	2	-2	7
10	Albacete	4	2	1	1	-2	7
11	Sp Gijon	4	1	3	0	+2	6
12	Santander	5	1	2	2	+2	5
13	Fuenlabrada	3	1	2	0	+1	5
14	La Coruna	4	1	2	1	+0	5
15	Mirandes	4	1	2	1	+0	5
16	Elche	4	1	2	1	-1	5
17	Lugo	5	1	2	2	-3	5
18	Tenerife	3	1	1	1	+0	4
19	Extremadura UD	4	1	1	2	+0	4
20	Malaga	4	0	3	1	-1	3
21	Oviedo	4	0	3	1	-2	3
22	Alcorcon	4	1	0	3	-3	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fuenlabrada	5	3	0	2	+1	9
2	Cadiz	4	3	0	1	+0	9
3	Almeria	4	2	2	0	+4	8
4	Alcorcon	4	2	2	0	+3	8
5	Tenerife	5	2	1	2	+1	7
6	Elche	5	2	1	2	+0	7
7	Huesca	4	2	0	2	+0	6
8	Albacete	5	2	0	3	-4	6
9	Zaragoza	3	1	2	0	+3	5
10	Extremadura UD	5	1	2	2	-1	5
11	Malaga	4	1	1	2	-1	4
12	Lugo	3	0	3	0	+0	3
13	Numancia	4	0	3	1	-1	3
14	Vallecano	4	0	3	1	-2	3
15	Santander	4	0	3	1	-2	3
16	Las Palmas	3	0	2	1	-1	2
17	Sp Gijon	4	0	2	2	-2	2
18	Ponferradina	4	0	2	2	-3	2
19	La Coruna	4	0	2	2	-4	2
20	Mirandes	4	0	2	2	-6	2
21	Oviedo	4	0	0	4	-4	0
22	Girona	4	0	0	4	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.