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Championship

Referee: J Linington

Fulham

T S U T S

2–1

Full-time

QPR

S U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fulham QPR

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

2,5

4,2

Scored

1,0

2,0

Conceded

1,5

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,2

This season — Championship · 15/16 matches

Win Ø 46%

47%

44%

Points per game

1,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

47%

75%

Both score Ø 61%

47%

75%

Average goals

2,6

3,5

Scored

1,5

1,6

Conceded

1,1

1,9

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

49% Possession 51%

11 Shots 19

4 Shots on target 7

0 Blocked shots 7

7 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 11

1 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fulham 7. · QPR 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	West Brom	16	9	6	1	+12	33
2	Preston	16	9	4	3	+14	31
3	Leeds	16	9	4	3	+12	31
4	Swansea	15	8	5	2	+9	29
5	Nott'm Forest	15	8	4	3	+7	28
6	Bristol City	16	7	7	2	+4	28
7	Fulham	15	7	4	4	+7	25
8	Sheffield Weds	16	7	4	5	+7	25
9	QPR	16	7	3	6	-4	24
10	Charlton	16	6	4	6	+3	22
11	Hull	16	6	4	6	+2	22
12	Birmingham	16	7	1	8	-5	22
13	Brentford	15	6	3	6	+5	21
14	Millwall	16	5	6	5	-3	21
15	Derby	16	5	6	5	-3	21
16	Cardiff	15	5	5	5	+0	20
17	Reading	15	5	3	7	-1	18
18	Blackburn	16	5	3	8	-4	18
19	Huddersfield	16	4	4	8	-6	16
20	Wigan	16	4	3	9	-11	15
21	Luton	16	4	2	10	-8	14
22	Middlesbrough	16	2	7	7	-8	13
23	Stoke	16	3	2	11	-12	11
24	Barnsley	16	1	6	9	-17	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Preston	9	7	2	0	+15	23
2	Millwall	8	5	2	1	+5	17
3	Leeds	8	5	2	1	+5	17
4	Cardiff	7	5	1	1	+7	16
5	Birmingham	8	5	1	2	+4	16
6	Derby	8	4	3	1	+5	15
7	Sheffield Weds	8	4	3	1	+4	15
8	Fulham	8	4	2	2	+5	14
9	West Brom	7	3	4	0	+5	13
10	Swansea	7	4	1	2	+4	13
11	Charlton	8	4	1	3	+4	13
12	Nott'm Forest	7	4	1	2	+4	13
13	Wigan	8	4	1	3	-1	13
14	Blackburn	8	3	3	2	+2	12
15	Bristol City	7	3	3	1	+2	12
16	Reading	8	4	0	4	+0	12
17	QPR	9	3	3	3	-1	12
18	Hull	9	3	2	4	-1	11
19	Brentford	7	2	3	2	+2	9
20	Middlesbrough	8	2	3	3	-3	9
21	Luton	7	2	2	3	-1	8
22	Huddersfield	8	2	2	4	-2	8
23	Barnsley	9	1	4	4	-7	7
24	Stoke	8	1	1	6	-7	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	West Brom	9	6	2	1	+7	20
2	Swansea	8	4	4	0	+5	16
3	Bristol City	9	4	4	1	+2	16
4	Nott'm Forest	8	4	3	1	+3	15
5	Leeds	8	4	2	2	+7	14
6	Brentford	8	4	0	4	+3	12
7	QPR	7	4	0	3	-3	12
8	Hull	7	3	2	2	+3	11
9	Fulham	7	3	2	2	+2	11
10	Sheffield Weds	8	3	1	4	+3	10
11	Charlton	8	2	3	3	-1	9
12	Preston	7	2	2	3	-1	8
13	Huddersfield	8	2	2	4	-4	8
14	Stoke	8	2	1	5	-5	7
15	Reading	7	1	3	3	-1	6
16	Blackburn	8	2	0	6	-6	6
17	Luton	9	2	0	7	-7	6
18	Derby	8	1	3	4	-8	6
19	Birmingham	8	2	0	6	-9	6
20	Middlesbrough	8	0	4	4	-5	4
21	Cardiff	8	0	4	4	-7	4
22	Millwall	8	0	4	4	-8	4
23	Wigan	8	0	2	6	-10	2
24	Barnsley	7	0	2	5	-10	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.