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Championship

Referee: O Langford

Middlesbrough

U U T U U

1–0

Full-time

Barnsley

U T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Middlesbrough Barnsley

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,7

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

33%

100%

Average goals

1,8

4,0

Scored

0,7

1,7

Conceded

1,2

2,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,7

This season — Championship · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 9%

12%

Points per game

0,8

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

35%

59%

Both score Ø 56%

47%

65%

Average goals

2,2

3,2

Scored

0,9

1,1

Conceded

1,4

2,1

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-1,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

36% Possession 64%

12 Shots 14

5 Shots on target 2

5 Blocked shots 9

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

8 Corners 3

1 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Middlesbrough 22. · Barnsley 24. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leeds	18	11	4	3	+14	37
2	West Brom	17	10	6	1	+13	36
3	Preston	17	9	4	4	+13	31
4	Fulham	17	9	4	4	+11	31
5	Swansea	17	8	6	3	+8	30
6	Nott'm Forest	16	8	5	3	+7	29
7	Bristol City	17	7	8	2	+4	29
8	Sheffield Weds	17	7	4	6	+6	25
9	Millwall	18	6	7	5	-2	25
10	Brentford	16	7	3	6	+6	24
11	Cardiff	17	6	6	5	+1	24
12	QPR	17	7	3	7	-5	24
13	Derby	18	6	6	6	-5	24
14	Hull	17	6	5	6	+2	23
15	Charlton	18	6	5	7	+2	23
16	Birmingham	17	7	2	8	-5	23
17	Blackburn	17	6	3	8	-3	21
18	Reading	17	5	3	9	-3	18
19	Huddersfield	18	4	6	8	-6	18
20	Luton	18	5	2	11	-8	17
21	Wigan	18	4	4	10	-12	16
22	Middlesbrough	17	2	8	7	-8	14
23	Stoke	18	4	2	12	-12	14
24	Barnsley	17	1	6	10	-18	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Preston	9	7	2	0	+15	23
2	Fulham	10	6	2	2	+9	20
3	Cardiff	8	6	1	1	+8	19
4	Derby	9	5	3	1	+6	18
5	Millwall	9	5	3	1	+5	18
6	Leeds	8	5	2	1	+5	17
7	West Brom	8	4	4	0	+6	16
8	Birmingham	8	5	1	2	+4	16
9	Sheffield Weds	8	4	3	1	+4	15
10	Blackburn	9	4	3	2	+3	15
11	Charlton	9	4	2	3	+4	14
12	Nott'm Forest	7	4	1	2	+4	13
13	Swansea	8	4	1	3	+3	13
14	Bristol City	8	3	4	1	+2	13
15	Wigan	8	4	1	3	-1	13
16	Brentford	8	3	3	2	+3	12
17	QPR	9	3	3	3	-1	12
18	Reading	9	4	0	5	-1	12
19	Luton	9	3	2	4	-1	11
20	Hull	9	3	2	4	-1	11
21	Huddersfield	10	2	4	4	-2	10
22	Middlesbrough	9	2	4	3	-3	10
23	Stoke	9	2	1	6	-6	7
24	Barnsley	9	1	4	4	-7	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leeds	10	6	2	2	+9	20
2	West Brom	9	6	2	1	+7	20
3	Swansea	9	4	5	0	+5	17
4	Nott'm Forest	9	4	4	1	+3	16
5	Bristol City	9	4	4	1	+2	16
6	Hull	8	3	3	2	+3	12
7	Brentford	8	4	0	4	+3	12
8	QPR	8	4	0	4	-4	12
9	Fulham	7	3	2	2	+2	11
10	Sheffield Weds	9	3	1	5	+2	10
11	Charlton	9	2	3	4	-2	9
12	Preston	8	2	2	4	-2	8
13	Huddersfield	8	2	2	4	-4	8
14	Stoke	9	2	1	6	-6	7
15	Millwall	9	1	4	4	-7	7
16	Birmingham	9	2	1	6	-9	7
17	Reading	8	1	3	4	-2	6
18	Blackburn	8	2	0	6	-6	6
19	Luton	9	2	0	7	-7	6
20	Derby	9	1	3	5	-11	6
21	Cardiff	9	0	5	4	-7	5
22	Middlesbrough	8	0	4	4	-5	4
23	Wigan	10	0	3	7	-11	3
24	Barnsley	8	0	2	6	-11	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.