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Championship
Referee: D Bond
Blackburn
U T T U S
2–1
Full-time
QPR
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Blackburn QPR
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,3
Scored
1,7
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,3
This season — Championship · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 39%
39%
39%
Points per game
1,4
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
68%
Both score Ø 65%
61%
68%
Average goals
2,7
3,5
Scored
1,4
1,6
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

41% Possession 59%
12 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 2
1 Offside 4
7 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Blackburn 10. · QPR 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 West Brom 28 14 11 3 +19 53
2 Leeds 28 15 7 6 +19 52
3 Fulham 27 14 6 7 +13 48
4 Nott'm Forest 28 13 9 6 +11 48
5 Preston 29 13 7 9 +8 46
6 Swansea 27 12 9 6 +6 45
7 Millwall 28 11 11 6 +4 44
8 Bristol City 28 12 8 8 +2 44
9 Sheffield Weds 28 12 6 10 +8 42
10 Blackburn 28 11 7 10 +5 40
11 Hull 28 11 6 11 +4 39
12 Brentford 25 11 5 9 +17 38
13 Cardiff 27 9 11 7 -2 38
14 QPR 28 11 5 12 -5 38
15 Reading 28 10 7 11 +3 37
16 Derby 28 9 10 9 -7 37
17 Middlesbrough 29 8 11 10 -7 35
18 Birmingham 29 9 7 13 -11 34
19 Stoke 29 9 4 16 -6 31
20 Charlton 29 7 9 13 -4 30
21 Huddersfield 28 7 8 13 -13 29
22 Barnsley 29 5 9 15 -19 24
23 Wigan 28 5 8 15 -18 23
24 Luton 28 6 3 19 -27 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Blackburn QPR
1–0 A. Armstrong
10′
22′
J. Hugill 1–1
I. Chair
2–1 D. Lenihan
J. Rothwell
30′
Half-time 2–1
E. Bennett 🔁
↦ J. Rothwell
46′
57′
🟨 Ilias Chair
58′
🟨 Geoff Cameron
62′
🟨 Luke Amos
66′
🔁 M. Pugh
↦ L. Amos
Darragh Lenihan 🟨
74′
J. Rankin-Costello 🔁
↦ L. Holtby
80′
B. Johnson 🔁
↦ S. Downing
80′
80′
🔁 O. Shodipo
↦ I. Chair
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Blackburn

4-2-3-1
1 C. Walton G
26 D. Lenihan D
17 A. Bell D
24 T. Adarabioyo D
27 L. Travis M
2 R. Nyambe D
19 S. Downing M
22 L. Holtby M
8 J. Rothwell M
7 A. Armstrong F
9 S. Gallagher M
Bench (7)
31 E. Bennett
37 J. Rankin-Costello
4 B. Johnson
3 D. Williams
20 B. Brereton
10 D. Graham
13 J. Leutwiler

Coach: T. Mowbray

QPR

4-2-3-1
32 L. Kelly G
3 L. Wallace D
5 G. Cameron M
4 G. Hall D
2 T. Kane D
23 C. Masterson D
20 B. Osayi-Samuel M
19 I. Chair M
8 L. Amos M
10 E. Eze M
9 J. Hugill F
Bench (7)
7 M. Pugh
17 O. Shodipo
47 J. Clarke
1 J. Lumley
22 Àngel Rangel
14 R. Manning
37 T. Leistner

Coach: M. Warburton

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,04
U
3,50
B
3,59
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,81
U2,5
1,99
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Bond · 157 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.