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Championship
Referee: Tony Harrington
Blackburn
U S T U T
1–0
Full-time
QPR
S S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Blackburn QPR
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,3
This season — Championship · 28/29 matches
Win Ø 26%
21%
31%
Points per game
0,9
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
54%
45%
Both score Ø 60%
68%
52%
Average goals
2,8
2,4
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,6
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

47% Possession 53%
11 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 1
7 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 6
2 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 16
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Blackburn 23. · QPR 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Brighton 28 18 6 4 +23 60
2 Newcastle 28 19 2 7 +33 59
3 Leeds 29 17 3 9 +13 54
4 Reading 27 16 4 7 +9 52
5 Huddersfield 26 16 4 6 +7 52
6 Derby 28 13 7 8 +9 46
7 Barnsley 29 13 5 11 +4 44
8 Norwich 28 13 4 11 +7 43
9 Sheffield Weds 27 12 7 8 +3 43
10 Preston 29 11 8 10 +1 41
11 Fulham 26 10 10 6 +10 40
12 Birmingham 29 9 10 10 -8 37
13 Brentford 28 10 6 12 +2 36
14 Aston Villa 28 8 12 8 -2 36
15 Cardiff 29 10 6 13 -9 36
16 Wolves 28 9 8 11 -1 35
17 Ipswich 29 9 8 12 -8 35
18 QPR 29 9 7 13 -12 34
19 Nott'm Forest 29 9 6 14 -7 33
20 Bristol City 28 8 4 16 -4 28
21 Burton Albion 29 7 7 15 -12 28
22 Wigan 28 6 7 15 -9 25
23 Blackburn 28 6 7 15 -13 25
24 Rotherham 29 4 4 21 -36 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Blackburn QPR
Half-time 0–0
59′
🟨 James Perch
62′
🔁 M. Smith
↦ J. Mackie
M. Emnes 🔁
↦ D. Graham
65′
C. Mahoney 🔁
↦ C. Conway
65′
H. Akpan 🔁
↦ G. Greer
70′
78′
🔁 R. Morrison
↦ M. Luongo
80′
🟨 Ryan Manning
90′
🟨 Darnell Furlong
1–0 S. Gallagher
M. Emnes
91′
94′
🔁 K. LuaLua
↦ D. Furlong
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Blackburn

4-4-2
1 J. Steele G
3 G. Greer D
14 C. Mulgrew D
24 R. Nyambe D
32 C. Conway M
7 L. Feeney M
31 E. Bennett M
26 D. Lenihan D
6 J. Lowe M
12 D. Graham F
19 S. Gallagher F
Bench (7)
17 M. Emnes
28 C. Mahoney
21 H. Akpan
18 Lucas João
23 D. Guthrie
30 W. Brown
33 David Raya

Coach: O. Coyle

QPR

4-1-3-2
1 A. Smithies
5 N. Onuoha D
24 J. Perch D
6 J. Lynch D
3 J. Bidwell D
29 D. Furlong D
15 P. Wszołek M
21 M. Luongo M
41 R. Manning M
12 J. Mackie F
9 C. Washington F
Bench (7)
17 M. Smith
49 R. Morrison
28 K. LuaLua
2 L. Freeman
4 G. Hall
10 S. Goss
13 M. Ingram

Coach: I. Holloway

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Tony Harrington · 95 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.