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Championship

Referee: A Woolmer

Reading

T T S U S

1–2

Full-time

Middlesbrough

S T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Reading Middlesbrough

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,3

2,5

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,5

This season — Championship · 43/43 matches

Win Ø 31%

35%

26%

Points per game

1,3

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 41%

44%

37%

Both score Ø 46%

47%

44%

Average goals

2,4

2,3

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

1,1

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

57% Possession 43%

10 Shots 13

1 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 0

5 Corners 5

0 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 17

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Reading 13. · Middlesbrough 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leeds	43	25	9	9	+35	84
2	West Brom	44	22	16	6	+33	82
3	Fulham	41	21	10	10	+13	73
4	Brentford	40	20	9	11	+37	69
5	Nott'm Forest	43	18	15	10	+12	69
6	Swansea	41	16	15	10	+10	63
7	Cardiff	41	16	15	10	+6	63
8	Preston	43	17	11	15	+4	62
9	Millwall	43	15	17	11	+3	62
10	Derby	43	16	13	14	-1	61
11	Bristol City	43	17	10	16	-4	61
12	Blackburn	43	16	12	15	+4	60
13	Reading	43	15	11	17	+6	56
14	Sheffield Weds	43	15	10	18	-5	55
15	Wigan	43	14	12	17	-7	54
16	QPR	43	15	8	20	-10	53
17	Stoke	43	14	7	22	-10	49
18	Birmingham	43	12	13	18	-17	49
19	Middlesbrough	43	11	14	18	-13	47
20	Huddersfield	43	12	11	20	-16	47
21	Charlton	43	12	10	21	-11	46
22	Hull	43	12	9	22	-18	45
23	Luton	43	12	8	23	-30	44
24	Barnsley	43	10	13	20	-21	43

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leeds	21	13	5	3	+21	44
2	Derby	22	11	8	3	+14	41
3	Fulham	21	13	2	6	+10	41
4	West Brom	22	10	9	3	+17	39
5	Brentford	19	11	5	3	+23	38
6	Preston	22	11	4	7	+8	37
7	Blackburn	22	9	9	4	+8	36
8	Cardiff	20	9	8	3	+10	35
9	Nott'm Forest	21	10	4	7	+3	34
10	Stoke	22	10	3	9	+9	33
11	Wigan	21	9	6	6	+2	33
12	Swansea	21	9	5	7	+6	32
13	Millwall	21	8	8	5	+4	32
14	Charlton	22	8	5	9	+1	29
15	QPR	22	8	5	9	-1	29
16	Bristol City	21	8	5	8	-3	29
17	Luton	21	7	6	8	-5	27
18	Barnsley	22	6	9	7	-5	27
19	Huddersfield	22	7	6	9	-5	27
20	Sheffield Weds	21	7	6	8	-10	27
21	Middlesbrough	22	6	8	8	-7	26
22	Reading	21	7	4	10	-4	25
23	Birmingham	21	6	6	9	-7	24
24	Hull	22	7	3	12	-7	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	West Brom	22	12	7	3	+16	43
2	Leeds	22	12	4	6	+14	40
3	Nott'm Forest	22	8	11	3	+9	35
4	Fulham	20	8	8	4	+3	32
5	Bristol City	22	9	5	8	-1	32
6	Brentford	21	9	4	8	+14	31
7	Reading	22	8	7	7	+10	31
8	Swansea	20	7	10	3	+4	31
9	Millwall	22	7	9	6	-1	30
10	Sheffield Weds	22	8	4	10	+5	28
11	Cardiff	21	7	7	7	-4	28
12	Preston	21	6	7	8	-4	25
13	Birmingham	22	6	7	9	-10	25
14	Blackburn	21	7	3	11	-4	24
15	QPR	21	7	3	11	-9	24
16	Middlesbrough	21	5	6	10	-6	21
17	Wigan	22	5	6	11	-9	21
18	Hull	21	5	6	10	-11	21
19	Huddersfield	21	5	5	11	-11	20
20	Derby	21	5	5	11	-15	20
21	Charlton	21	4	5	12	-12	17
22	Luton	22	5	2	15	-25	17
23	Barnsley	21	4	4	13	-16	16
24	Stoke	21	4	4	13	-19	16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.