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Championship
Referee: John Brooks
Middlesbrough
T S S S T
2–1
Full-time
Reading
T U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Middlesbrough Reading
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
17%
83%
Average goals
2,0
2,7
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
This season — Championship · 44/44 matches
Win Ø 32%
41%
23%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
30%
55%
Both score Ø 48%
36%
59%
Average goals
1,9
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,1
Conceded
0,9
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

38% Possession 62%
18 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 4
0 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Middlesbrough 7. · Reading 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Norwich 44 25 13 6 +34 88
2 Sheffield United 44 25 10 9 +35 85
3 Leeds 42 23 7 12 +19 76
4 West Brom 42 21 10 11 +24 73
5 Aston Villa 41 19 14 8 +20 71
6 Derby 40 18 13 9 +20 67
7 Middlesbrough 44 18 13 13 +6 67
8 Bristol City 43 18 12 13 +7 66
9 Sheffield Weds 44 16 15 13 -1 63
10 Swansea 43 18 8 17 +3 62
11 Nott'm Forest 44 15 15 14 +5 60
12 Preston 44 16 12 16 +3 60
13 Hull 44 17 9 18 -2 60
14 Birmingham 44 14 17 13 +6 59
15 Blackburn 44 16 11 17 -4 59
16 Brentford 44 15 13 16 +10 58
17 Stoke 45 11 21 13 -7 54
18 Wigan 44 12 12 20 -14 48
19 QPR 44 13 9 22 -18 48
20 Reading 44 10 16 18 -16 46
21 Millwall 44 10 14 20 -14 44
22 Rotherham 44 8 16 20 -29 40
23 Bolton 44 8 8 28 -47 32
24 Ipswich 44 4 16 24 -40 28

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Middlesbrough Reading
11′
D. Loader 0–1
C. Gunter
1–1 L. Wing
31′
2–1 B. Assombalonga
39′
Half-time 2–1
Jonathan Howson 🟨
55′
63′
🔁 C. Harriott
↦ S. Baldock
66′
🟨 Callum Harriott
A. Clayton 🔁
↦ M. Bešić
68′
74′
🔁 J. Barrett
↦ G. McCleary
74′
🔁 M. Olise
↦ C. Gunter
M. Tavernier 🔁
↦ A. Fletcher
81′
J. Hugill 🔁
↦ B. Assombalonga
86′
Jordan Hugill 🟨
90′
George Saville 🟨
90′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Middlesbrough

3-5-1-1
23 D. Randolph G
5 R. Shotton D
24 A. Flint D
2 J. Obi Mikel M
16 J. Howson M
37 M. Bešić M
17 P. McNair M
22 G. Saville M
26 L. Wing M
9 B. Assombalonga F
18 A. Fletcher F
Bench (7)
8 A. Clayton
28 M. Tavernier
11 J. Hugill
39 R. Gestede
1 D. Konstantopoulos
19 S. Downing
25 N. Wood-Gordon

Coach: T. Pulis

Reading

4-3-1-2
26 E. Martínez G
2 C. Gunter D
6 L. Moore D
19 M. Miazga D
3 A. Yiadom D
16 L. Baker M
18 O. Ejaria M
35 A. Rinomhota M
12 G. McCleary M
9 S. Baldock F
43 D. Loader F
Bench (7)
15 C. Harriott
39 J. Barrett
48 M. Olise
32 S. Ezatolahi
46 T. Mcintyre
38 L. Kelly
28 S. Walker

Coach: José Gomes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

John Brooks · 40 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.