← Match Finder
Championship
Referee: K Stroud
Watford
S S T T T
1–0
Full-time
Middlesbrough
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Watford Middlesbrough
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,7
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
2,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

50% Possession 50%
10 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 6
1 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

14. Jan -17 Watford – Middlesbrough 0–0 16. Oct -16 Middlesbrough – Watford 0–1

Match report

Watford Middlesbrough
1–0 C. Cathcart ⚽
K. Sema
11′
Half-time 1–0
G. Murray 🔁
↦ K. Sema
66′
Marc Navarro 🔁
↦ Kiko Femenía
75′
78′
🔁 L. Wing
↦ G. Saville
Ben Wilmot 🟨
85′
D. Phillips 🔁
↦ Domingos Quina
90′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Watford

5-4-1
1 B. Foster G
15 C. Cathcart D
27 C. Kabasele D
21 Kiko Femenía D
6 B. Wilmot D
8 T. Cleverley M
14 N. Chalobah M
12 K. Sema M
20 Domingos Quina M
3 J. Ngakia D
10 João Pedro F
Bench (7)
17 G. Murray
32 Marc Navarro
52 D. Phillips
26 D. Bachmann
31 F. Sierralta
34 J. Sinclair
33 I. Pussetto

Coach: V. Ivić

Middlesbrough

3-5-2
1 M. Bettinelli G
4 G. Hall D
29 D. Spence M
16 J. Howson M
3 M. Johnson M
17 P. McNair D
22 G. Saville M
7 M. Tavernier M
2 A. Dijksteel D
9 B. Assombalonga F
11 A. Fletcher F
Bench (7)
8 L. Wing
15 N. Wood-Gordon
6 D. Fry
42 A. Pears
12 M. Browne
27 M. Bola
33 H. Coulson

Coach: N. Warnock

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,98
🔒
U
3,34
🔒
B
3,96
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
2,21
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,66
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

K Stroud · 147 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.