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Championship
Referee: O Langford
Norwich
S S S S T
1–1
Full-time
QPR
U T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Norwich QPR
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
83%
0%
Points per game
2,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
67%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,5
1,5
Scored
1,7
0,3
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,8
This season — Championship · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 41%
62%
19%
Points per game
2,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
48%
33%
Both score Ø 55%
57%
52%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
1,4
0,9
Conceded
0,9
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

64% Possession 36%
23 Shots 12
9 Shots on target 3
9 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 7
8 Corners 7
3 Offside 4
10 Free kicks against 17
3 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Norwich 1. · QPR 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Norwich 21 13 4 4 +10 43
2 Bournemouth 20 10 8 2 +19 38
3 Brentford 20 10 7 3 +14 37
4 Watford 21 10 7 4 +9 37
5 Reading 21 11 3 7 +5 36
6 Swansea 19 10 5 4 +11 35
7 Stoke 21 9 7 5 +5 34
8 Middlesbrough 21 9 6 6 +8 33
9 Bristol City 21 10 3 8 +0 33
10 Barnsley 20 9 4 7 +0 31
11 Blackburn 21 8 5 8 +10 29
12 Cardiff 21 8 5 8 +5 29
13 Preston 21 9 2 10 -2 29
14 Huddersfield 21 8 4 9 -4 28
15 Luton 21 7 6 8 -5 27
16 Millwall 20 5 10 5 -1 25
17 Coventry 21 5 8 8 -8 23
18 Birmingham 22 5 8 9 -10 23
19 Sheffield Weds 22 5 7 10 -9 22
20 QPR 21 4 8 9 -10 20
21 Derby 21 4 7 10 -9 19
22 Nott'm Forest 21 4 6 11 -11 18
23 Rotherham 19 4 4 11 -9 16
24 Wycombe 21 2 6 13 -18 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Norwich QPR
22′
🟨 Todd Kane
Half-time 0–0
D. Barden 🔁
↦ M. McGovern
46′
71′
🔁 M. Bonne
↦ L. Dykes
71′
🔁 A. Adomah
↦ I. Chair
73′
🟨 Dominic Ball
75′
🟨 Robert Dickie
1–0 T. Pukki
75′
Christoph Zimmermann 🟨
84′
84′
B. Osayi-Samuel 1–1
Kenny McLean 🟨
87′
88′
🟨 Tom Carroll
K. Dowell 🔁
↦ T. Cantwell
89′
J. Hugill 🔁
↦ J. Sørensen
89′
Oliver Skipp 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Macauley Bonne
90′
🟨 Bright Osayi-Samuel
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Norwich

4-2-3-1
33 M. McGovern G
5 G. Hanley D
6 C. Zimmermann D
2 M. Aarons D
8 M. Vrančić M
23 K. McLean M
17 E. Buendía M
19 J. Sørensen D
14 T. Cantwell M
20 O. Skipp M
22 T. Pukki F
Bench (9)
50 D. Barden
10 K. Dowell
9 J. Hugill
24 J. Martin
16 Xavi Quintillà
34 B. Gibson
27 A. Tettey
53 T. Omotoye
44 A. Omobamidele

Coach: D. Farke

QPR

5-4-1
13 T. Dieng G
20 G. Cameron D
12 D. Ball M
6 Y. Barbet D
2 T. Kane D
4 R. Dickie D
25 N. Hamalainen D
22 T. Carroll M
11 B. Osayi-Samuel F
10 I. Chair M
9 L. Dykes M
Bench (9)
7 M. Bonne
37 A. Adomah
23 C. Masterson
32 L. Kelly
29 C. Kelman
26 F. Bettache
21 C. Willock
41 S. Duke-McKenna
19 G. Thomas

Coach: M. Warburton

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,57
U ✓
4,22
B
5,48
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,66
U2,5 ✓
2,23
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

O Langford · 173 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.