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Primeira Liga

Referee: Iancu Vasilica

Moreirense

T T T U U

1–0

Full-time

Santa Clara

S T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Moreirense Santa Clara

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

1,8

2,8

Scored

0,7

1,0

Conceded

1,2

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,8

This season — Primeira Liga · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 30%

20%

40%

Points per game

1,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 35%

20%

50%

Both score Ø 40%

40%

Average goals

1,7

2,3

Scored

0,7

1,0

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

43% Possession 57%

12 Shots 8

2 Shots on target 1

4 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 0

0 Offside 2

15 Free kicks against 24

1 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Moreirense 14. · Santa Clara 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	11	9	2	0	+18	29
2	Benfica	11	9	0	2	+13	27
3	Sp Braga	11	8	0	3	+11	24
4	Porto	10	7	1	2	+12	22
5	Guimaraes	10	6	1	3	+4	19
6	Pacos Ferreira	11	4	4	3	+1	16
7	Maritimo	11	4	1	6	-2	13
8	Nacional	11	3	4	4	-2	13
9	Santa Clara	10	4	1	5	-3	13
10	Gil Vicente	11	3	3	5	-3	12
11	Belenenses	11	2	5	4	-3	11
12	Famalicao	11	2	5	4	-6	11
13	Rio Ave	11	2	5	4	-7	11
14	Moreirense	10	2	4	4	-3	10
15	Farense	11	2	3	6	-4	9
16	Boavista	11	1	6	4	-8	9
17	Tondela	11	2	3	6	-11	9
18	Portimonense	11	2	2	7	-7	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	6	5	0	1	+7	15
2	Benfica	6	5	0	1	+6	15
3	Sp Lisbon	5	4	1	0	+8	13
4	Sp Braga	5	4	0	1	+5	12
5	Pacos Ferreira	5	3	1	1	+2	10
6	Nacional	6	2	3	1	+1	9
7	Moreirense	5	2	2	1	+2	8
8	Farense	6	2	2	2	+1	8
9	Tondela	6	2	2	2	-3	8
10	Gil Vicente	5	2	1	2	+0	7
11	Maritimo	5	2	1	2	+0	7
12	Belenenses	6	1	3	2	-1	6
13	Famalicao	6	1	3	2	-4	6
14	Guimaraes	5	2	0	3	-4	6
15	Portimonense	5	1	2	2	-2	5
16	Rio Ave	5	1	2	2	-3	5
17	Santa Clara	5	1	1	3	-4	4
18	Boavista	5	1	1	3	-6	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	6	5	1	0	+10	16
2	Guimaraes	5	4	1	0	+8	13
3	Benfica	5	4	0	1	+7	12
4	Sp Braga	6	4	0	2	+6	12
5	Santa Clara	5	3	0	2	+1	9
6	Porto	4	2	1	1	+5	7
7	Pacos Ferreira	6	1	3	2	-1	6
8	Maritimo	6	2	0	4	-2	6
9	Rio Ave	6	1	3	2	-4	6
10	Boavista	6	0	5	1	-2	5
11	Famalicao	5	1	2	2	-2	5
12	Belenenses	5	1	2	2	-2	5
13	Gil Vicente	6	1	2	3	-3	5
14	Nacional	5	1	1	3	-3	4
15	Portimonense	6	1	0	5	-5	3
16	Moreirense	5	0	2	3	-5	2
17	Farense	5	0	1	4	-5	1
18	Tondela	5	0	1	4	-8	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.