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2. Bundesliga

Osnabruck

T S

4–0

Full-time

Darmstadt

T T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Osnabruck Darmstadt

Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,5

2,3

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,3

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,0

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

1,5

0,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

21 Shots 8

8 Shots on target 1

3 Corners 6

16 Free kicks against 16

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Osnabruck 13. · Darmstadt 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	3	2	1	0	+5	7
2	Stuttgart	3	2	1	0	+2	7
3	Karlsruhe	3	2	0	1	+2	6
4	Erzgebirge Aue	3	2	0	1	+1	6
5	Greuther Furth	3	2	0	1	+1	6
6	Bielefeld	3	1	2	0	+2	5
7	Hannover	3	1	1	1	+2	4
8	Darmstadt	2	1	1	0	+2	4
9	Heidenheim	3	1	1	1	+1	4
10	Regensburg	3	1	1	1	+1	4
11	Sandhausen	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Holstein Kiel	3	1	1	1	-1	4
13	Osnabruck	2	1	0	1	-1	3
14	Dresden	3	1	0	2	-2	3
15	Nurnberg	3	1	0	2	-4	3
16	Bochum	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	St Pauli	3	0	1	2	-3	1
18	Wehen	3	0	0	3	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Stuttgart	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Bielefeld	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Holstein Kiel	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Hamburg	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Karlsruhe	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Regensburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Darmstadt	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Erzgebirge Aue	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Sandhausen	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Dresden	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Greuther Furth	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Bochum	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Heidenheim	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Hannover	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Osnabruck	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	St Pauli	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Wehen	2	0	0	2	-4	0
18	Nurnberg	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Hannover	2	1	0	1	+2	3
3	Greuther Furth	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Heidenheim	2	1	0	1	+1	3
5	Osnabruck	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Nurnberg	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Erzgebirge Aue	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Karlsruhe	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Bielefeld	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Stuttgart	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Sandhausen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Darmstadt	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	St Pauli	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Regensburg	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Wehen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Dresden	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Holstein Kiel	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Bochum	2	0	0	2	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.