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Primeira Liga
Referee: Hugo Miguel
Tondela
T U S U U
1–2
Full-time
Portimonense
S T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tondela Portimonense
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,7
This season — Primeira Liga · 2/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
0,0
0,0
Scored
0,0
0,0
Conceded
0,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

59% Possession 41%
8 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Tondela 11. · Portimonense 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Porto 3 2 0 1 +7 6
2 Benfica 2 2 0 0 +7 6
3 Famalicao 2 2 0 0 +3 6
4 Boavista 2 1 1 0 +1 4
5 Sp Lisbon 2 1 1 0 +1 4
6 Aves 2 1 0 1 +1 3
7 Sp Braga 2 1 0 1 +1 3
8 Moreirense 2 1 0 1 +1 3
9 Santa Clara 2 1 0 1 -1 3
10 Gil Vicente 2 1 0 1 -2 3
11 Tondela 2 0 2 0 +0 2
12 Guimaraes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Portimonense 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Maritimo 2 0 1 1 -2 1
15 Belenenses 2 0 1 1 -2 1
16 Setubal 2 0 1 1 -4 1
17 Vitoria Setubal 2 0 1 1 -4 1
18 Rio Ave 1 0 0 1 -1 0
19 Pacos Ferreira 2 0 0 2 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Tondela Portimonense
36′
Aylton Boa Morte 0–1
Rômulo
45′
Iury 0–2
Aylton Boa Morte
Half-time 0–2
Pité 🔁
↦ Pedro Augusto
46′
António Xavier 🔁
↦ João Pedro
60′
João Vigário 🔁
↦ Filipe Ferreira
70′
74′
🔁 Dener
↦ J. Cevallos
Bruno Wilson 🟨
82′
1–2 Richard Rodrigues
F. Moufi
84′
88′
🔁 Rodrigo
↦ Bruno Tabata
90′
🟨 Iury
91′
🔁 E. Hackman
↦ Aylton Boa Morte
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Tondela

4-3-3
1 Cláudio Ramos G
23 Yohan Tavares D
30 Filipe Ferreira D
3 Bruno Wilson D
18 F. Moufi D
8 João Pedro M
14 Pepelu M
70 J. Toro F
6 Pedro Augusto M
15 J. Murillo F
77 Richard Rodrigues F
Bench (7)
10 Pité
7 António Xavier
20 João Vigário
11 R. Castillo
94 Philipe Sampaio
13 Diogo Silva
5 Jaquité

Coach: Natxo González

Portimonense

4-3-3
1 Ricardo Ferreira G
19 Henrique D
22 K. Anzai D
4 Jadson D
28 Willyan D
25 J. Cevallos M
21 Pedro Sá M
5 Rômulo M
10 Bruno Tabata F
77 Aylton Boa Morte F
95 Iury F
Bench (7)
7 Dener
92 Rodrigo
6 E. Hackman
16 S. Gonda
20 Luquinhas
11 M. Moreno
70 José Gomes

Coach: António Folha

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,71
U
3,27
B ✓
2,55
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,09
U2,5
1,73
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Hugo Miguel · 125 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
31,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.