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Championship
Referee: O Langford
Barnsley
U T U U S
0–1
Full-time
Luton
U T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barnsley Luton
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,5
This season — Championship · 2/3 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
1,5
3,7
Scored
1,0
2,7
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

70% Possession 30%
10 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 4
2 Offside 7
13 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Barnsley 10. · Luton 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Luton 3 2 0 1 +5 6
2 Cardiff 3 1 2 0 +2 5
3 Fulham 2 1 1 0 +4 4
4 QPR 2 1 1 0 +3 4
5 West Brom 2 1 1 0 +1 4
6 Bournemouth 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 Middlesbrough 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 Blackburn 2 1 1 0 +1 4
9 Stoke 2 1 1 0 +1 4
10 Barnsley 2 1 1 0 +1 4
11 Birmingham 2 1 1 0 +1 4
12 Peterboro 3 1 1 1 -2 4
13 Hull 2 1 0 1 +0 3
14 Reading 2 1 0 1 +0 3
15 Coventry 2 1 0 1 +0 3
16 Peterborough 2 1 0 1 -2 3
17 Millwall 2 0 2 0 +0 2
18 Bristol City 2 0 1 1 -1 1
19 Swansea 2 0 1 1 -1 1
20 Sheffield United 2 0 1 1 -1 1
21 Derby 3 0 1 2 -2 1
22 Blackpool 2 0 1 1 -2 1
23 Huddersfield 2 0 1 1 -4 1
24 Nott'm Forest 2 0 0 2 -2 0
25 Preston 2 0 0 2 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Barnsley Luton
4′
A. Bell 0–1
C. Jerome
Michał Helik 🟨
37′
41′
🟨 Admiral Muskwe
45′
🟨 Elijah Adebayo
Half-time 0–1
D. Cole 🔁
↦ C. Oduor
56′
57′
🟨 Henri Lansbury
69′
🔁 H. Cornick
↦ C. Jerome
V. Adeboyejo 🔁
↦ D. Frieser
75′
88′
🔁 G. Osho
↦ T. Lockyer
A. Halme 🔁
↦ R. Palmer
90′
90′
🔁 G. Rea
↦ A. Muskwe
92′
🟨 Harry Cornick
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Barnsley

3-4-3
40 B. Collins G
30 M. Helik D
7 C. Brittain M
20 T. Sibbick D
5 L. Kitching D
22 C. Oduor F
28 D. Frieser F
10 J. Benson M
21 R. Palmer M
9 C. Woodrow F
4 C. Styles M
Bench (7)
44 D. Cole
29 V. Adeboyejo
24 A. Halme
15 J. Moon
1 J. Walton
3 B. Williams
25 G. Miller

Coach: M. Schopp

Luton

3-4-1-2
12 S. Sluga G
15 T. Lockyer D
29 A. Bell M
2 J. Bree M
20 P. Kioso D
23 H. Lansbury M
4 K. Naismith D
17 P. Ruddock M
35 C. Jerome F
11 E. Adebayo F
26 A. Muskwe F
Bench (7)
7 H. Cornick
32 G. Osho
6 G. Rea
14 Carlos Gomes
22 A. Campbell
21 H. Isted
10 E. Lee

Coach: N. Jones

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,31
U
3,20
B ✓
3,24
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,28
U2,5 ✓
1,62
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

O Langford · 173 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.