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Championship

Referee: T Robinson

West Brom

T T T T U

3–2

Full-time

Luton

U U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

West Brom Luton

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

3,5

2,8

Scored

1,2

1,8

Conceded

2,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+0,8

This season — Championship · 1/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

1,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

4,0

3,0

Scored

2,0

3,0

Conceded

2,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+3,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

46% Possession 54%

18 Shots 11

6 Shots on target 5

5 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

8 Corners 4

0 Offside 2

15 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match West Brom 10. · Luton 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Luton	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Hull	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Stoke	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Coventry	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Blackburn	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Birmingham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Peterboro	2	1	0	1	-2	3
8	Peterborough	2	1	0	1	-2	3
9	Bournemouth	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	West Brom	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Fulham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Middlesbrough	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	QPR	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Millwall	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Cardiff	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Barnsley	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Bristol City	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Blackpool	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Huddersfield	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Derby	3	0	1	2	-2	1
21	Reading	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Nott'm Forest	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Swansea	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Sheffield United	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Preston	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Luton	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Stoke	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Coventry	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Blackburn	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Peterboro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Peterborough	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Bournemouth	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Fulham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	QPR	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Cardiff	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Bristol City	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Derby	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Sheffield United	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Preston	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hull	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Birmingham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	West Brom	1	0	1	0	+0	1
4	Middlesbrough	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Millwall	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Barnsley	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Blackpool	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Huddersfield	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Reading	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Nott'm Forest	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Swansea	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Derby	2	0	0	2	-2	0
13	Peterboro	1	0	0	1	-3	0
14	Peterborough	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.