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2. Bundesliga

Bielefeld

U U S U U

4–0

Full-time

Dresden

T T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bielefeld Dresden

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

1,5

2,7

Scored

0,8

1,0

Conceded

0,7

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,7

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 37%

50%

23%

Points per game

1,9

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

43%

53%

Both score Ø 55%

57%

53%

Average goals

2,7

2,6

Scored

1,8

1,0

Conceded

0,9

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,9

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

13 Shots 8

4 Shots on target 2

7 Corners 5

12 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bielefeld 1. · Dresden 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bielefeld	30	15	13	2	+27	58
2	Hamburg	31	14	11	6	+21	53
3	Stuttgart	31	15	7	9	+13	52
4	Heidenheim	31	14	9	8	+11	51
5	Darmstadt	31	11	13	7	+2	46
6	Bochum	31	10	12	9	+3	42
7	Greuther Furth	31	11	9	11	+2	42
8	Hannover	31	11	9	11	+0	42
9	Erzgebirge Aue	31	11	8	12	-3	41
10	Sandhausen	31	9	13	9	-1	40
11	Holstein Kiel	31	10	9	12	-2	39
12	Regensburg	31	10	9	12	-6	39
13	St Pauli	31	9	11	11	-3	38
14	Osnabruck	31	8	11	12	-5	35
15	Karlsruhe	31	7	12	12	-11	33
16	Nurnberg	31	7	12	12	-13	33
17	Wehen	31	8	7	16	-14	31
18	Dresden	30	7	7	16	-21	28

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Stuttgart	15	11	2	2	+19	35
2	Heidenheim	16	10	4	2	+18	34
3	Hamburg	15	10	3	2	+19	33
4	Erzgebirge Aue	15	10	3	2	+14	33
5	St Pauli	16	8	5	3	+10	29
6	Darmstadt	16	6	9	1	+9	27
7	Bielefeld	14	6	7	1	+12	25
8	Bochum	16	6	7	3	+7	25
9	Regensburg	15	7	4	4	+5	25
10	Sandhausen	16	5	8	3	+2	23
11	Greuther Furth	15	7	2	6	+1	23
12	Karlsruhe	16	5	6	5	-1	21
13	Hannover	15	4	8	3	+0	20
14	Osnabruck	16	5	4	7	-2	19
15	Dresden	16	5	3	8	-5	18
16	Holstein Kiel	15	4	5	6	-3	17
17	Nurnberg	16	3	7	6	-10	16
18	Wehen	15	3	4	8	-14	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bielefeld	16	9	6	1	+15	33
2	Holstein Kiel	16	6	4	6	+1	22
3	Hannover	16	7	1	8	+0	22
4	Hamburg	16	4	8	4	+2	20
5	Greuther Furth	16	4	7	5	+1	19
6	Darmstadt	15	5	4	6	-7	19
7	Wehen	16	5	3	8	+0	18
8	Nurnberg	15	4	5	6	-3	17
9	Sandhausen	15	4	5	6	-3	17
10	Bochum	15	4	5	6	-4	17
11	Stuttgart	16	4	5	7	-6	17
12	Heidenheim	15	4	5	6	-7	17
13	Osnabruck	15	3	7	5	-3	16
14	Regensburg	16	3	5	8	-11	14
15	Karlsruhe	15	2	6	7	-10	12
16	Dresden	14	2	4	8	-16	10
17	St Pauli	15	1	6	8	-13	9
18	Erzgebirge Aue	16	1	5	10	-17	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.