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LaLiga2
Ponferradina
U T S T U
2–1
Full-time
Elche
T T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ponferradina Elche
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
1,0
2,8
Scored
0,3
1,5
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
This season — LaLiga2 · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 33%
28%
38%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 27%
28%
25%
Both score Ø 52%
53%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,4
Scored
1,1
1,3
Conceded
1,1
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

12 Shots 3
5 Shots on target 1
5 Corners 2
21 Free kicks against 30
5 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ponferradina 12. · Elche 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Cadiz 32 16 9 7 +12 57
2 Zaragoza 32 15 10 7 +13 55
3 Almeria 32 14 11 7 +20 53
4 Huesca 32 16 5 11 +9 53
5 Girona 32 13 9 10 +5 48
6 Elche 32 12 11 9 +8 47
7 Mirandes 32 10 15 7 +0 45
8 Vallecano 32 9 17 6 +7 44
9 Alcorcon 32 10 14 8 +3 44
10 Sp Gijon 32 11 9 12 +2 42
11 Fuenlabrada 32 10 12 10 +0 42
12 Ponferradina 32 9 14 9 +2 41
13 Tenerife 32 10 9 13 -1 39
14 Las Palmas 32 9 12 11 -5 39
15 Numancia 32 9 11 12 -1 38
16 Malaga 32 8 14 10 -2 38
17 Lugo 32 8 13 11 -11 37
18 Oviedo 32 8 12 12 -6 36
19 La Coruna 32 8 12 12 -18 36
20 Albacete 32 9 8 15 -14 35
21 Extremadura UD 32 7 11 14 -13 32
22 Santander 32 4 16 12 -10 28

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

28. Sep -19 Elche – Ponferradina 1–0

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,49
U
2,87
B
3,14
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,55
U2,5
1,50
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.