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2. Bundesliga

Fortuna Dusseldorf

T S U S T

3–2

Full-time

Darmstadt

U S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fortuna Dusseldorf Darmstadt

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,7

4,0

Scored

0,8

1,8

Conceded

1,8

2,2

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,3

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

56%

78%

Both score Ø 50%

44%

56%

Average goals

2,6

3,8

Scored

0,9

1,8

Conceded

1,7

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

13 Shots 9

4 Shots on target 5

1 Corners 5

11 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fortuna Dusseldorf 12. · Darmstadt 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Greuther Furth	9	5	3	1	+9	18
2	Bochum	9	5	2	2	+8	17
3	Hamburg	9	5	2	2	+5	17
4	Holstein Kiel	9	4	4	1	+5	16
5	Osnabruck	9	4	4	1	+2	16
6	Erzgebirge Aue	9	4	3	2	+5	15
7	Paderborn	9	4	2	3	+6	14
8	Karlsruhe	9	4	1	4	+4	13
9	Heidenheim	9	3	3	3	+2	12
10	Regensburg	9	3	3	3	-1	12
11	Darmstadt	9	3	3	3	-2	12
12	Fortuna Dusseldorf	9	3	2	4	-7	11
13	Nurnberg	9	2	4	3	+1	10
14	Hannover	9	3	1	5	-1	10
15	Sandhausen	9	2	2	5	-7	8
16	Braunschweig	9	2	2	5	-12	8
17	St Pauli	9	1	4	4	-5	7
18	Wurzburger Kickers	9	1	1	7	-12	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Heidenheim	5	3	2	0	+6	11
2	Hannover	5	3	1	1	+5	10
3	Hamburg	5	3	1	1	+4	10
4	Regensburg	5	3	1	1	+3	10
5	Fortuna Dusseldorf	4	3	1	0	+3	10
6	Paderborn	4	3	0	1	+4	9
7	Bochum	5	2	2	1	+5	8
8	Erzgebirge Aue	4	2	2	0	+4	8
9	Holstein Kiel	5	2	2	1	+0	8
10	Sandhausen	5	2	2	1	-1	8
11	Greuther Furth	4	2	1	1	+4	7
12	Braunschweig	4	2	1	1	+0	7
13	Osnabruck	4	2	1	1	-1	7
14	Karlsruhe	4	2	0	2	+2	6
15	Darmstadt	4	1	2	1	+0	5
16	Nurnberg	5	1	2	2	-1	5
17	St Pauli	4	1	1	2	-2	4
18	Wurzburger Kickers	5	1	1	3	-5	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Greuther Furth	5	3	2	0	+5	11
2	Bochum	4	3	0	1	+3	9
3	Osnabruck	5	2	3	0	+3	9
4	Holstein Kiel	4	2	2	0	+5	8
5	Karlsruhe	5	2	1	2	+2	7
6	Hamburg	4	2	1	1	+1	7
7	Erzgebirge Aue	5	2	1	2	+1	7
8	Darmstadt	5	2	1	2	-2	7
9	Nurnberg	4	1	2	1	+2	5
10	Paderborn	5	1	2	2	+2	5
11	St Pauli	5	0	3	2	-3	3
12	Regensburg	4	0	2	2	-4	2
13	Heidenheim	4	0	1	3	-4	1
14	Fortuna Dusseldorf	5	0	1	4	-10	1
15	Braunschweig	5	0	1	4	-12	1
16	Hannover	4	0	0	4	-6	0
17	Sandhausen	4	0	0	4	-6	0
18	Wurzburger Kickers	4	0	0	4	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.