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La Liga

Referee: Jorge Figueroa

Ath Bilbao

T S T S U

0–2

Full-time

Celta

U T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Celta

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,5

3,5

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

0,8

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,8

This season — La Liga · 10/11 matches

Win Ø 29%

40%

18%

Points per game

1,3

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

40%

45%

Both score Ø 52%

40%

64%

Average goals

2,2

2,8

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

1,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%

10 Shots 6

0 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 0

4 Corners 5

0 Offside 1

7 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Bilbao 9. · Celta 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sociedad	11	7	3	1	+17	24
2	Ath Madrid	9	7	2	0	+17	23
3	Villarreal	11	5	5	1	+4	20
4	Real Madrid	10	5	2	3	+4	17
5	Sevilla	9	5	1	3	+4	16
6	Cadiz	11	4	3	4	-3	15
7	Barcelona	9	4	2	3	+10	14
8	Granada	10	4	2	4	-6	14
9	Ath Bilbao	10	4	1	5	+2	13
10	Getafe	10	3	4	3	-1	13
11	Elche	9	3	4	2	-1	13
12	Eibar	11	3	4	4	-1	13
13	Alaves	11	3	4	4	-2	13
14	Valencia	11	3	3	5	+0	12
15	Betis	11	4	0	7	-11	12
16	Osasuna	10	3	2	5	-5	11
17	Valladolid	11	2	4	5	-5	10
18	Celta	11	2	4	5	-9	10
19	Levante	10	1	5	4	-5	8
20	Huesca	11	0	7	4	-9	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Villarreal	6	4	2	0	+6	14
2	Ath Madrid	5	4	1	0	+12	13
3	Sociedad	6	3	2	1	+7	11
4	Barcelona	5	3	1	1	+9	10
5	Granada	5	3	1	1	+2	10
6	Getafe	6	3	1	2	+2	10
7	Ath Bilbao	4	3	0	1	+6	9
8	Sevilla	4	3	0	1	+3	9
9	Valencia	6	2	2	2	+2	8
10	Osasuna	5	2	1	2	-1	7
11	Real Madrid	4	2	0	2	+2	6
12	Betis	5	2	0	3	-2	6
13	Valladolid	6	1	3	2	-2	6
14	Alaves	6	1	3	2	-2	6
15	Elche	5	1	3	1	-2	6
16	Celta	5	2	0	3	-5	6
17	Levante	4	0	3	1	-2	3
18	Huesca	5	0	3	2	-3	3
19	Eibar	6	0	3	3	-4	3
20	Cadiz	5	0	2	3	-5	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sociedad	5	4	1	0	+10	13
2	Cadiz	6	4	1	1	+2	13
3	Real Madrid	6	3	2	1	+2	11
4	Ath Madrid	4	3	1	0	+5	10
5	Eibar	5	3	1	1	+3	10
6	Sevilla	5	2	1	2	+1	7
7	Elche	4	2	1	1	+1	7
8	Alaves	5	2	1	2	+0	7
9	Villarreal	5	1	3	1	-2	6
10	Betis	6	2	0	4	-9	6
11	Levante	6	1	2	3	-3	5
12	Barcelona	4	1	1	2	+1	4
13	Valencia	5	1	1	3	-2	4
14	Valladolid	5	1	1	3	-3	4
15	Celta	6	0	4	2	-4	4
16	Ath Bilbao	6	1	1	4	-4	4
17	Osasuna	5	1	1	3	-4	4
18	Huesca	6	0	4	2	-6	4
19	Granada	5	1	1	3	-8	4
20	Getafe	4	0	3	1	-3	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.