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2. Bundesliga

St Pauli

S S S S U

0–2

Full-time

Paderborn

U S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Pauli Paderborn

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

83%

17%

Points per game

2,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,2

2,8

Scored

2,0

1,2

Conceded

1,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,5

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

67%

46%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,2

2,5

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

17 Shots 11

3 Shots on target 7

7 Corners 4

10 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St Pauli 10. · Paderborn 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bochum	25	15	3	7	+19	48
2	Hamburg	25	13	7	5	+21	46
3	Holstein Kiel	24	13	7	4	+16	46
4	Greuther Furth	24	12	7	5	+17	43
5	Karlsruhe	25	12	5	8	+7	41
6	Fortuna Dusseldorf	25	11	7	7	+4	40
7	Heidenheim	24	11	6	7	+5	39
8	Hannover	24	10	5	9	+8	35
9	Erzgebirge Aue	25	9	6	10	-3	33
10	St Pauli	24	8	8	8	-3	32
11	Paderborn	24	8	7	9	+0	31
12	Darmstadt	25	9	4	12	-2	31
13	Regensburg	23	7	8	8	-4	29
14	Nurnberg	25	7	7	11	-7	28
15	Braunschweig	25	6	7	12	-21	25
16	Osnabruck	24	6	5	13	-15	23
17	Sandhausen	25	6	4	15	-17	22
18	Wurzburger Kickers	24	4	3	17	-25	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Heidenheim	12	8	3	1	+14	27
2	Fortuna Dusseldorf	12	8	3	1	+9	27
3	Bochum	13	8	2	3	+16	26
4	Hamburg	12	7	3	2	+16	24
5	Holstein Kiel	12	7	2	3	+5	23
6	Erzgebirge Aue	12	6	4	2	+6	22
7	Hannover	11	6	3	2	+11	21
8	Paderborn	12	6	3	3	+4	21
9	Greuther Furth	12	6	2	4	+6	20
10	Braunschweig	13	6	2	5	-3	20
11	Regensburg	12	5	4	3	+3	19
12	Sandhausen	13	5	4	4	+2	19
13	St Pauli	12	5	3	4	-1	18
14	Darmstadt	13	5	2	6	+1	17
15	Karlsruhe	13	4	4	5	+1	16
16	Nurnberg	13	3	5	5	-4	14
17	Wurzburger Kickers	12	3	3	6	-7	12
18	Osnabruck	11	2	1	8	-8	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Karlsruhe	12	8	1	3	+6	25
2	Greuther Furth	12	6	5	1	+11	23
3	Holstein Kiel	12	6	5	1	+11	23
4	Hamburg	13	6	4	3	+5	22
5	Bochum	12	7	1	4	+3	22
6	Osnabruck	13	4	4	5	-7	16
7	St Pauli	12	3	5	4	-2	14
8	Darmstadt	12	4	2	6	-3	14
9	Hannover	13	4	2	7	-3	14
10	Nurnberg	12	4	2	6	-3	14
11	Fortuna Dusseldorf	13	3	4	6	-5	13
12	Heidenheim	12	3	3	6	-9	12
13	Erzgebirge Aue	13	3	2	8	-9	11
14	Paderborn	12	2	4	6	-4	10
15	Regensburg	11	2	4	5	-7	10
16	Braunschweig	12	0	5	7	-18	5
17	Wurzburger Kickers	12	1	0	11	-18	3
18	Sandhausen	12	1	0	11	-19	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.