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2. Bundesliga

Paderborn

U S U S S

2–0

Full-time

St Pauli

T U U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paderborn St Pauli

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,0

3,7

Scored

2,0

1,7

Conceded

1,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,3

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 29%

43%

14%

Points per game

1,6

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

43%

86%

Both score Ø 57%

43%

71%

Average goals

2,7

3,7

Scored

1,7

Conceded

1,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

25 Shots 14

8 Shots on target 2

3 Corners 7

11 Free kicks against 17

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Paderborn 5. · St Pauli 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	7	5	2	0	+8	17
2	Osnabruck	7	3	4	0	+4	13
3	Greuther Furth	7	3	3	1	+6	12
4	Holstein Kiel	7	3	3	1	+2	12
5	Paderborn	7	3	2	2	+5	11
6	Bochum	7	3	2	2	+1	11
7	Hannover	7	3	1	3	+3	10
8	Regensburg	7	2	3	2	+0	9
9	Erzgebirge Aue	7	2	3	2	-1	9
10	Darmstadt	7	2	3	2	-3	9
11	Heidenheim	7	2	2	3	+1	8
12	Sandhausen	7	2	2	3	-3	8
13	Fortuna Dusseldorf	7	2	2	3	-3	8
14	Braunschweig	7	2	2	3	-6	8
15	Karlsruhe	7	2	1	4	+1	7
16	Nurnberg	7	1	4	2	-1	7
17	St Pauli	7	1	4	2	-2	7
18	Wurzburger Kickers	7	0	1	6	-12	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hannover	4	3	1	0	+8	10
2	Hamburg	4	3	1	0	+6	10
3	Heidenheim	4	2	2	0	+5	8
4	Sandhausen	4	2	2	0	+2	8
5	Regensburg	4	2	1	1	+2	7
6	Osnabruck	3	2	1	0	+2	7
7	Braunschweig	3	2	1	0	+2	7
8	Fortuna Dusseldorf	3	2	1	0	+2	7
9	Holstein Kiel	4	2	1	1	+0	7
10	Paderborn	3	2	0	1	+2	6
11	Erzgebirge Aue	3	1	2	0	+1	5
12	Nurnberg	4	1	2	1	+0	5
13	Bochum	4	1	2	1	+0	5
14	Greuther Furth	3	1	1	1	+2	4
15	St Pauli	3	1	1	1	-1	4
16	Karlsruhe	3	1	0	2	+1	3
17	Darmstadt	3	0	2	1	-4	2
18	Wurzburger Kickers	4	0	1	3	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Greuther Furth	4	2	2	0	+4	8
2	Hamburg	3	2	1	0	+2	7
3	Darmstadt	4	2	1	1	+1	7
4	Osnabruck	4	1	3	0	+2	6
5	Bochum	3	2	0	1	+1	6
6	Paderborn	4	1	2	1	+3	5
7	Holstein Kiel	3	1	2	0	+2	5
8	Karlsruhe	4	1	1	2	+0	4
9	Erzgebirge Aue	4	1	1	2	-2	4
10	St Pauli	4	0	3	1	-1	3
11	Nurnberg	3	0	2	1	-1	2
12	Regensburg	3	0	2	1	-2	2
13	Fortuna Dusseldorf	4	0	1	3	-5	1
14	Braunschweig	4	0	1	3	-8	1
15	Heidenheim	3	0	0	3	-4	0
16	Hannover	3	0	0	3	-5	0
17	Sandhausen	3	0	0	3	-5	0
18	Wurzburger Kickers	3	0	0	3	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.