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2. Bundesliga

Referee: T Stieler

Holstein Kiel

U S S T U

2–2

Full-time

Kaiserslautern

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Holstein Kiel Kaiserslautern

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/1 matches

Win Ø 67%

33%

100%

Points per game

1,5

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

67%

100%

Both score Ø 84%

67%

100%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

1,7

2,0

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,0

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

1,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

4,0

3,0

Scored

2,0

Conceded

2,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

65% Possession 35%

11 Shots 13

2 Shots on target 5

6 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 0

3 Corners 4

0 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Holstein Kiel 11. · Kaiserslautern 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fortuna Dusseldorf	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Paderborn	2	1	0	1	+4	3
3	Regensburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Hamburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	St Pauli	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Kaiserslautern	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Heidenheim	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Sandhausen	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Darmstadt	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Greuther Furth	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Holstein Kiel	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Nurnberg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Bielefeld	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Hannover	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Magdeburg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Hansa Rostock	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Braunschweig	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Karlsruhe	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paderborn	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	Regensburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	St Pauli	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Fortuna Dusseldorf	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Darmstadt	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Sandhausen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Kaiserslautern	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Greuther Furth	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Magdeburg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Hansa Rostock	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Braunschweig	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Fortuna Dusseldorf	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Heidenheim	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Holstein Kiel	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Nurnberg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
6	Paderborn	1	0	0	1	-1	0
7	Sandhausen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Bielefeld	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Hannover	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Darmstadt	1	0	0	1	-2	0
11	Karlsruhe	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.