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Allsvenskan

Referee: G Maqedonci

Malmo FF

S S U S T

3–1

Full-time

Sirius

T T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malmo FF Sirius

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,3

3,2

Scored

2,0

1,7

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,2

This season — Allsvenskan · 15/14 matches

Win Ø 48%

53%

43%

Points per game

1,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

40%

50%

Both score Ø 32%

27%

36%

Average goals

2,1

2,6

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

0,8

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

68% Possession 32%

25 Shots 6

6 Shots on target 3

7 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 0

12 Free kicks against 15

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Malmo FF 5. · Sirius 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hacken	14	9	4	1	+13	31
2	Djurgarden	15	9	3	3	+23	30
3	AIK	15	8	4	3	+4	28
4	Hammarby	14	8	3	3	+16	27
5	Malmo FF	15	8	3	4	+7	27
6	Kalmar	14	6	3	5	+4	21
7	Goteborg	14	6	3	5	+1	21
8	Sirius	14	6	3	5	-3	21
9	Elfsborg	14	5	5	4	+8	20
10	Mjallby	14	5	5	4	+1	20
11	Norrkoping	14	4	4	6	-1	16
12	Varberg	14	4	3	7	-11	15
13	Varnamo	14	3	4	7	-10	13
14	Sundsvall	14	3	1	10	-21	10
15	Degerfors	14	2	2	10	-19	8
16	Helsingborg	15	1	4	10	-12	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Djurgarden	8	7	1	0	+21	22
2	AIK	8	6	1	1	+6	19
3	Hammarby	8	5	3	0	+12	18
4	Malmo FF	7	5	1	1	+9	16
5	Elfsborg	7	4	2	1	+8	14
6	Hacken	6	4	1	1	+5	13
7	Kalmar	7	4	1	2	+4	13
8	Goteborg	7	3	3	1	+4	12
9	Mjallby	7	3	3	1	+4	12
10	Sirius	6	4	0	2	+2	12
11	Varberg	7	3	2	2	+1	11
12	Varnamo	6	2	3	1	+2	9
13	Sundsvall	8	3	0	5	-10	9
14	Norrkoping	7	2	2	3	+2	8
15	Helsingborg	8	1	2	5	-7	5
16	Degerfors	7	1	2	4	-9	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hacken	8	5	3	0	+8	18
2	Malmo FF	8	3	2	3	-2	11
3	Hammarby	6	3	0	3	+4	9
4	AIK	7	2	3	2	-2	9
5	Goteborg	7	3	0	4	-3	9
6	Sirius	8	2	3	3	-5	9
7	Djurgarden	7	2	2	3	+2	8
8	Kalmar	7	2	2	3	+0	8
9	Norrkoping	7	2	2	3	-3	8
10	Mjallby	7	2	2	3	-3	8
11	Elfsborg	7	1	3	3	+0	6
12	Varnamo	8	1	1	6	-12	4
13	Varberg	7	1	1	5	-12	4
14	Degerfors	7	1	0	6	-10	3
15	Helsingborg	7	0	2	5	-5	2
16	Sundsvall	6	0	1	5	-11	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.