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2. Bundesliga
Referee: A Aarnink
1–1
Full-time
Karlsruhe
U T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Greuther Furth Karlsruhe
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,8
4,3
Scored
0,8
2,0
Conceded
2,0
2,3
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,3
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,5
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
5,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
2,0
4,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%
10 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 16
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Greuther Furth 15. · Karlsruhe 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Regensburg 2 2 0 0 +5 6
2 Heidenheim 2 2 0 0 +4 6
3 Fortuna Dusseldorf 2 2 0 0 +2 6
4 St Pauli 2 1 1 0 +1 4
5 Kaiserslautern 2 1 1 0 +1 4
6 Paderborn 2 1 0 1 +4 3
7 Nurnberg 2 1 0 1 +1 3
8 Hamburg 2 1 0 1 +1 3
9 Magdeburg 2 1 0 1 +0 3
10 Sandhausen 2 1 0 1 +0 3
11 Hansa Rostock 2 1 0 1 +0 3
12 Darmstadt 2 1 0 1 -1 3
13 Holstein Kiel 2 0 2 0 +0 2
14 Hannover 2 0 1 1 -1 1
15 Greuther Furth 2 0 1 1 -2 1
16 Bielefeld 2 0 0 2 -4 0
17 Braunschweig 2 0 0 2 -5 0
18 Karlsruhe 2 0 0 2 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Greuther Furth Karlsruhe
27′
🟨 Paul Nebel
Sebastian Griesbeck 🟨
44′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 M. Kaufmann
↦ S. Rapp
54′
🟨 Jérôme Gondorf
1–0 R. Ache
B. Hrgota
57′
63′
ℹ️ Daniel Gordon
VAR: Penalty confirmed
Oussama Haddadi 🟨
65′
66′
M. Wanitzek 1–1
T. Raschl 🔁
↦ T. Tillman
67′
80′
ℹ️ Marvin Wanitzek
VAR: Goal cancelled
O. Fobassam 🔁
↦ S. Griesbeck
82′
J. Dudziak 🔁
↦ J. Green
82′
N. Seufert 🔁
↦ R. Ache
83′
83′
🔁 T. Rossmann
↦ F. Schleusener
86′
🟨 Philip Heise
87′
🔁 L. Cueto
↦ P. Nebel
Armindo Sieb 🟨
88′
Oliver Fobassam 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Greuther Furth

4-3-1-2
1 A. Linde G
2 S. Asta D
22 S. Griesbeck D
5 O. Haddadi D
27 L. Itter D
21 T. Tillman M
13 M. Christiansen M
37 J. Green M
10 B. Hrgota M
39 R. Ache F
30 A. Sieb F
Bench (9)
20 T. Raschl
19 O. Fobassam
28 J. Dudziak
8 N. Seufert
3 O. Mhamdi
25 L. Schaffran
15 J. Willems
6 S. Raebiger
31 D. Angleberger

Coach: M. Schneider

Karlsruhe

4-4-2
35 M. Gersbeck G
21 M. Thiede D
3 D. Gordon D
28 M. Franke D
16 P. Heise D
26 P. Nebel M
8 J. Gondorf M
38 T. Breithaupt M
10 M. Wanitzek M
24 F. Schleusener F
7 S. Rapp F
Bench (7)
14 M. Kaufmann
31 T. Rossmann
17 L. Cueto
1 K. Eisele
36 K. Arase
6 L. Jensen
18 K. Jakob

Coach: C. Eichner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,74
U ✓
4,08
B
4,18
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,54
U2,5 ✓
2,42
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Aarnink · 22 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.