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Bundesliga
Referee: T Reichel
Augsburg
T T S T T
2–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Augsburg Greuther Furth
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
0,8
0,5
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,2
This season — Bundesliga · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 18%
27%
9%
Points per game
1,1
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
52%
64%
Both score Ø 60%
55%
64%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
1,1
0,8
Conceded
1,7
2,4
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

50% Possession 50%
8 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 5
1 Offside 0
21 Free kicks against 20
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Augsburg 14. · Greuther Furth 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 33 24 4 5 +60 76
2 Dortmund 33 21 3 9 +32 66
3 Leverkusen 33 18 7 8 +32 61
4 RB Leipzig 33 17 6 10 +35 57
5 Freiburg 33 15 10 8 +13 55
6 Union Berlin 33 15 9 9 +5 54
7 FC Koln 33 14 10 9 +4 52
8 Hoffenheim 33 13 7 13 +2 46
9 Mainz 33 13 6 14 +5 45
10 M'gladbach 33 11 9 13 -11 42
11 Bochum 33 12 6 15 -13 42
12 Ein Frankfurt 33 10 11 12 -4 41
13 Wolfsburg 33 12 5 16 -11 41
14 Augsburg 33 9 8 16 -18 35
15 Hertha 33 9 6 18 -33 33
16 Stuttgart 33 6 12 15 -19 30
17 Bielefeld 33 5 12 16 -26 27
18 Greuther Furth 33 3 9 21 -53 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Augsburg Greuther Furth
2′
🟨 Max Christiansen
1–0 D. Caligiuri
11′
23′
J. Ngankam 1–1
T. Raschl
C. Gruezo 🔁
↦ N. Dorsch
39′
43′
🟨 Sebastian Griesbeck
Half-time 1–1
R. Framberger 🔁
↦ R. Gumny
46′
M. Gregoritsch 🔁
↦ M. Pedersen
46′
46′
🔁 P. Seguin
↦ M. Christiansen
62′
🔁 G. Jung
↦ J. Ngankam
62′
🔁 J. Leweling
↦ J. Willems
A. Finnbogason 🔁
↦ F. Niederlechner
69′
73′
🔁 J. Green
↦ T. Raschl
75′
🟨 Simon Asta
2–1 M. Gregoritsch
A. Maier
84′
87′
🔁 Afimico Pululu
↦ T. Tillman
J. Morávek 🔁
↦ A. Maier
88′
Daniel Caligiuri 🟨
91′
Carlos Gruezo 🟨
95′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Augsburg

3-4-2-1
1 R. Gikiewicz G
6 J. Gouweleeuw D
3 M. Pedersen F
4 R. Oxford D
2 R. Gumny D
22 Iago M
20 D. Caligiuri M
28 A. Hahn F
30 N. Dorsch M
10 A. Maier M
7 F. Niederlechner F
Bench (9)
8 C. Gruezo
32 R. Framberger
11 M. Gregoritsch
27 A. Finnbogason
14 J. Morávek
40 T. Koubek
19 F. Uduokhai
18 R. Pepi
29 L. Günther

Coach: M. Weinzierl

Greuther Furth

3-5-2
30 S. Burchert G
24 N. Viergever D
15 J. Willems M
27 G. Itter D
2 S. Asta M
22 S. Griesbeck D
13 M. Christiansen M
21 T. Tillman M
20 T. Raschl M
10 B. Hrgota F
17 J. Ngankam F
Bench (9)
33 P. Seguin
23 G. Jung
40 J. Leweling
37 J. Green
9 Afimico Pululu
26 A. Linde
11 D. Abiama
4 M. Bauer
28 J. Dudziak

Coach: S. Leitl

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,58
U
4,72
B
5,09
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,39
U2,5
2,95
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

T Reichel · 78 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.