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Championship
Referee: S Martin
Luton
U U U U T
5–0
Full-time
Coventry
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Luton Coventry
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,3
2,2
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
2,2
0,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,2
This season — Championship · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 50%
30%
70%
Points per game
1,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
70%
40%
Both score Ø 40%
50%
30%
Average goals
3,2
2,1
Scored
1,6
1,5
Conceded
1,6
0,6
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 4–0

43% Possession 57%
21 Shots 6
9 Shots on target 1
6 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 7
5 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 8
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Luton 13. · Coventry 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 West Brom 11 7 4 0 +13 25
2 Bournemouth 10 6 4 0 +9 22
3 Coventry 10 7 1 2 +9 22
4 Stoke 10 5 3 2 +3 18
5 Fulham 9 5 2 2 +11 17
6 Blackburn 10 4 4 2 +6 16
7 Huddersfield 9 5 1 3 +4 16
8 Reading 10 5 1 4 +0 16
9 QPR 10 4 3 3 +5 15
10 Sheffield United 11 4 3 4 +3 15
11 Preston 11 3 5 3 -1 14
12 Bristol City 9 3 4 2 +1 13
13 Luton 10 3 4 3 +0 13
14 Middlesbrough 10 3 3 4 +0 12
15 Blackpool 10 3 3 4 -4 12
16 Birmingham 11 3 3 5 -5 12
17 Cardiff 11 3 3 5 -6 12
18 Swansea 9 2 4 3 -3 10
19 Derby 10 2 4 4 -3 10
20 Millwall 9 1 6 2 -2 9
21 Barnsley 9 1 5 3 -4 8
22 Peterboro 10 2 2 6 -10 8
23 Peterborough 9 2 1 6 -10 7
24 Hull 10 1 3 6 -9 6
25 Nott'm Forest 8 0 2 6 -7 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Luton Coventry
1–0 E. Adebayo
3′
17′
🟨 Gustavo Hamer
2–0 H. Cornick
K. Naismith
18′
3–0 L. Berry
H. Cornick
30′
Half-time 3–0
46′
🔁 B. Sheaf
↦ G. Hamer
4–0 E. Adebayo
H. Cornick
52′
5–0 H. Cornick
L. Berry
58′
62′
🟨 Ian Maatsen
64′
🔁 M. Rose
↦ K. McFadzean
64′
🔁 T. Walker
↦ V. Gyökeres
Carlos Gomes 🔁
↦ H. Cornick
71′
C. Jerome 🔁
↦ E. Adebayo
71′
G. Osho 🔁
↦ G. Rea
80′
Full-time 5–0

Line-ups

Luton

3-4-1-2
12 S. Sluga G
5 S. Bradley D
15 T. Lockyer D
29 A. Bell M
6 G. Rea M
2 J. Bree M
8 L. Berry M
18 J. Clark F
4 K. Naismith D
7 H. Cornick F
11 E. Adebayo F
Bench (7)
14 Carlos Gomes
35 C. Jerome
32 G. Osho
22 A. Campbell
1 J. Shea
16 R. Burke
23 H. Lansbury

Coach: N. Jones

Coventry

3-4-1-2
1 S. Moore G
5 K. McFadzean D
20 T. Kane M
15 D. Hyam D
3 J. Clarke-Salter D
18 I. Maatsen M
8 J. Allen M
10 C. O'Hare F
38 G. Hamer M
9 M. Waghorn F
17 V. Gyökeres F
Bench (7)
14 B. Sheaf
4 M. Rose
19 T. Walker
24 M. Godden
13 B. Wilson
6 L. Kelly
29 J. Da Costa

Coach: M. Robins

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,70
U
3,16
B
2,74
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,16
U2,5
1,70
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Martin · 160 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.