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2. Bundesliga
Referee: S Storks
Karlsruhe
U S U U S
2–1
Full-time
Osnabruck
T T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Karlsruhe Osnabruck
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
100%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
4,2
2,5
Scored
2,2
0,7
Conceded
2,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,2
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 18%
29%
6%
Points per game
1,2
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
71%
53%
Both score Ø 65%
71%
59%
Average goals
3,5
3,1
Scored
1,8
0,9
Conceded
1,8
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

51% Possession 49%
16 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 2
1 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Karlsruhe 12. · Osnabruck 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Holstein Kiel 17 11 2 4 +10 35
2 St Pauli 17 8 9 0 +16 33
3 Hamburg 17 9 4 4 +11 31
4 Fortuna Dusseldorf 17 9 3 5 +16 30
5 Greuther Furth 17 8 5 4 +7 29
6 Paderborn 17 8 3 6 +0 27
7 Hertha 17 7 4 6 +7 25
8 Hannover 17 6 6 5 +7 24
9 Elversberg 17 7 3 7 -3 24
10 Nurnberg 17 7 3 7 -9 24
11 Wehen 17 6 4 7 -3 22
12 Karlsruhe 17 5 6 6 +0 21
13 Magdeburg 17 5 5 7 +2 20
14 Schalke 04 17 6 2 9 -4 20
15 Kaiserslautern 17 5 3 9 -8 18
16 Hansa Rostock 17 5 2 10 -11 17
17 Braunschweig 17 4 2 11 -15 14
18 Osnabruck 17 1 6 10 -23 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Karlsruhe Osnabruck
1–0 C. Kobald
4′
24′
D. Gnaase 1–1
Paul Nebel 🟨
39′
Half-time 2–1
2–1 M. Wanitzek
I. Matanović
55′
64′
🔁 C. Makridis
↦ T. Androutsos
64′
🔁 L. Kehl
↦ R. Tesche
72′
🔁 L. Lobinger
↦ C. Conteh
F. Schleusener 🔁
↦ B. Zivzivadze
76′
77′
🟨 Dave Gnaase
85′
🔁 H. Rorig
↦ N. Niemann
85′
🔁 M. Thalhammer
↦ O. Diakhité
D. Herold 🔁
↦ P. Heise
86′
A. Ersungur 🔁
↦ P. Nebel
86′
R. Bormuth 🔁
↦ I. Matanović
90′
98′
🟨 Michaël Cuisance
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Karlsruhe

4-3-1-2
23 P. Drewes G
2 S. Jung D
28 M. Franke D
22 C. Kobald D
16 P. Heise D
15 D. Burnić M
8 J. Gondorf M
10 M. Wanitzek M
26 P. Nebel M
11 B. Zivzivadze F
9 I. Matanović F
Bench (9)
24 F. Schleusener
20 D. Herold
27 A. Ersungur
32 R. Bormuth
4 M. Beifus
18 D. Brosinski
21 M. Thiede
29 M. Weiß
37 L. Dettling

Coach: C. Eichner

Osnabruck

4-3-3
22 P. Kühn G
2 T. Androutsos D
4 M. Gyamfi D
14 O. Diakhité D
3 F. Kleinhansl D
27 M. Cuisance M
26 D. Gnaase M
8 R. Tesche M
17 C. Conteh F
9 E. Engelhardt F
7 N. Niemann F
Bench (9)
11 C. Makridis
18 L. Kehl
21 L. Lobinger
16 H. Rorig
6 M. Thalhammer
25 N. Wiemann
32 J. Wulff
1 L. Grill
13 L. Kunze

Coach: U. Koschinat

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,57
U
4,32
B
5,23
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,58
U2,5
2,34
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Storks · 54 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.