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2. Bundesliga

Referee: M Petersen

Karlsruhe

T U S U U

3–2

Full-time

Elversberg

T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Karlsruhe Elversberg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

100%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,8

3,3

Scored

1,8

1,5

Conceded

2,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,3

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 35%

25%

44%

Points per game

1,1

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 66%

69%

63%

Both score Ø 66%

69%

63%

Average goals

3,4

3,1

Scored

1,7

1,5

Conceded

1,8

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

49% Possession 51%

17 Shots 11

7 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 1

1 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Karlsruhe 14. · Elversberg 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Holstein Kiel	17	11	2	4	+10	35
2	St Pauli	16	8	8	0	+16	32
3	Hamburg	17	9	4	4	+11	31
4	Fortuna Dusseldorf	17	9	3	5	+16	30
5	Greuther Furth	17	8	5	4	+7	29
6	Paderborn	17	8	3	6	+0	27
7	Hertha	17	7	4	6	+7	25
8	Hannover	17	6	6	5	+7	24
9	Elversberg	16	7	3	6	-2	24
10	Nurnberg	17	7	3	7	-9	24
11	Wehen	16	6	3	7	-3	21
12	Magdeburg	17	5	5	7	+2	20
13	Schalke 04	17	6	2	9	-4	20
14	Karlsruhe	16	4	6	6	-1	18
15	Kaiserslautern	16	5	3	8	-7	18
16	Hansa Rostock	17	5	2	10	-11	17
17	Braunschweig	16	3	2	11	-16	11
18	Osnabruck	17	1	6	10	-23	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	8	7	0	1	+12	21
2	Greuther Furth	9	6	2	1	+12	20
3	St Pauli	8	4	4	0	+11	16
4	Holstein Kiel	9	5	1	3	+3	16
5	Hannover	8	4	3	1	+11	15
6	Hertha	8	4	2	2	+12	14
7	Paderborn	8	4	2	2	+4	14
8	Fortuna Dusseldorf	9	4	2	3	+2	14
9	Schalke 04	8	4	1	3	+5	13
10	Kaiserslautern	9	4	1	4	+0	13
11	Karlsruhe	8	3	3	2	+3	12
12	Wehen	8	3	3	2	-1	12
13	Magdeburg	8	3	2	3	+3	11
14	Nurnberg	8	3	2	3	-4	11
15	Elversberg	8	3	1	4	-2	10
16	Hansa Rostock	9	3	1	5	-4	10
17	Braunschweig	8	2	2	4	-5	8
18	Osnabruck	9	1	3	5	-6	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Holstein Kiel	8	6	1	1	+7	19
2	Fortuna Dusseldorf	8	5	1	2	+14	16
3	St Pauli	8	4	4	0	+5	16
4	Elversberg	8	4	2	2	+0	14
5	Paderborn	9	4	1	4	-4	13
6	Nurnberg	9	4	1	4	-5	13
7	Hertha	9	3	2	4	-5	11
8	Hamburg	9	2	4	3	-1	10
9	Magdeburg	9	2	3	4	-1	9
10	Wehen	8	3	0	5	-2	9
11	Hannover	9	2	3	4	-4	9
12	Greuther Furth	8	2	3	3	-5	9
13	Hansa Rostock	8	2	1	5	-7	7
14	Schalke 04	9	2	1	6	-9	7
15	Karlsruhe	8	1	3	4	-4	6
16	Kaiserslautern	7	1	2	4	-7	5
17	Braunschweig	8	1	0	7	-11	3
18	Osnabruck	8	0	3	5	-17	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.